The arcade
Forecaster leaderboard
Ranked on resolved directional calls - timestamped, auto-scored, never editable. Minimum 5 resolved calls to appear; small samples rank honestly (Wilson lower bound).
No ranked forecasters here yet
Make directional calls on cards you know - after 5 resolve, you're on the board.
Advanced
Open advanced view →Calibration detail and the follow-the-sharps feed - the open calls of the top-ranked forecasters.
Every call locks a baseline value at creation and auto-resolves against the market at its horizon: correct, incorrect, or push (moved less than 5%). Voided calls (no market data) never count for or against anyone. Click a forecaster for their full receipts.