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Professor Birch's Observations

#159

Primal Clash · Rare Ultra · EN

Community Fair Value · H-NM
$13.23
Market data only
Market anchor (FV_sales)
$13.23
Community estimate
needs 5 more voters
Voters · comps
0 · 186
The band · ±15% of marketCFV $13.23
Floor $11.25Market $13.23Ceiling $15.21

The community moves this only within the glowing band - it can never detach from real market data.

Market anchor $13.23186 compsas of 2026-07-03

Est. International

Approx.
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Card details

Card Number159/160 · Rare Ultra
Card TypeSupporter
ArtistHitoshi Ariga
Card Text

Shuffle your hand into your deck and flip a coin. If heads, draw 7 cards. If tails, draw 4 cards.

You may play only 1 Supporter card during your turn (before your attack).

Graded prices

CGC 8.5
$19.99
model estimate
CGC 8
$19.00
model estimate

“model estimate” tiles are Scrydex modeled values (as of 2026-06-29). Struck-through tiles failed our graded data-quality checks and should not be treated as market truth.

Population report

Total graded
212
Gem rate (PSA 10)
5.7%
Grade 10
12
Grade 9
45
Grade 8.5
1
Grade 8
76
Grade 7
57
Grade 6
13
Grade 5
7
Grade 4
1

PSAcensus for this card's most-graded printing · as of 2026-06-29. Gem rate = grade-10 slabs ÷ total graded.

Market Price History

Market price
$13.37
+$1.91 (+16.7%)
$13.37$11.46Mar 2026Today
99 data points over 102 days · Source: market data

Near Mint Comparison Prices

CGC_8.5
$19.99
H-DMG
$2.32
H-HP
$4.11
H-LP
$8.37
H-MP
$5.25
H-NM
$13.23
PSA_10
$1,499.99
PSA_7
$17.25
PSA_8
$16.50
PSA_9
$59.00

Price Points

H-NM
Market Price
+16.7%$13.23
VolatilityLow Volatility
Most Recent SaleComing soon
Listed MedianComing soon
Current QuantityComing soon
Current SellersComing soon

3 Month Snapshot

Low SaleComing soon
High SaleComing soon
Total SoldComing soon
Avg Daily SoldComing soon

Sale-based and live-listing fields arrive once a realized-sales feed is wired up. Market Price and comparisons above are real Scrydex market data - never realized sales.

Graded price history

PSA 10PSA 9PSA 8PSA 7
$0$500$1,000$1,500PSA 10 peak · $1,499.99 · May 7, 2026PSA 10PSA 9 peak · $59.00 · Jun 3, 2026PSA 9 low · $34.00 · Apr 26, 2026PSA 9PSA 8 peak · $16.50 · Feb 20, 2026PSA 8PSA 7 peak · $20.50 · Apr 9, 2026PSA 7 low · $14.00 · Feb 27, 2026PSA 7Feb 20Jul 1
10 realized data points · daily eBay sold medians (accruing daily) · grades with fewer than 2 points are hidden until more data lands.
View data table
DateGradeRealized median
Jul 1, 2026PSA 7$17.25
Jul 1, 2026PSA 8$16.50
Jul 1, 2026PSA 9$59.00
Jul 1, 2026PSA 10$1,499.99
Jun 3, 2026PSA 9$59.00
May 7, 2026PSA 10$1,499.99
Apr 26, 2026PSA 9$34.00
Apr 9, 2026PSA 7$20.50
Feb 27, 2026PSA 7$14.00
Feb 20, 2026PSA 8$16.50

Verified market data - based on 3 realized eBay data points · updated Jul 1, 2026

Average
$50.67
Median
$59.00
Range
$34.00 - $59.00
Data points
3

PSA 9 · last 90 days

Daily realized medians

latest 3 of 3
DatePriceSource
Jul 1, 2026$59.00eBay realized
Jun 3, 2026$59.00eBay realized
Apr 26, 2026$34.00eBay realized

Realized rows are daily median snapshots of eBay sold data - not individual auction records.

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Your estimate · H-NM

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Make a call · H-NM

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Community sentiment

50% bullish

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Sentiment is hype only; it is never blended into the dollar value above.

Should I grade this?

Professor Birch's Observations

Raw market value $13.23Vintage · 2015
GRADE

Send it to PSAReal censusHigh confidence

Grade with PSA: ~$164.73 expected value at 66% ROI (best case PSA 10 at $1,499.99, ~45d, all-in $86.00). Vintage card (2015) - PSA carries the resale & liquidity premium. Top grade backed by 2 realized sales.

Expected value

$164.73

Expected ROI

+66%

Turnaround

~45d

All-in · Regular

$86.00

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price. Best case below shows the top grade.

Best case: PSA 10· pop 12· $1,499.99→ profit $1,400.76realized · median of 2 sales

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Recommended
PSA (Professional Sports Authenticator)PSA

Market leader · liquidity premium

Real censusHigh confidence
+66% ROI
Expected value$164.73
Expected profit$65.50
Break-even value$99.23
All-in · Regular$86.00
Turnaround~45d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$1,400.76

PSA 10pop 12

$1,499.99

realized · median of 2 sales

Worst case · low grade

-$82.73

PSA 8pop 76

$16.50

estimate

CGC (Certified Guaranty Company)CGC

Mid-market · solid demand

EstimatedLow confidence
-42% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$13 to $26
Expected profit-$13.90
Break-even value$33.23
All-in · Bulk$20.00
Turnaround~120d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$13.24

CGC 8.5

$19.99

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$14.23

CGC 8

$19.00

estimate

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.