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Surfing Pikachu

#111

Evolutions · Rare Secret · EN

Community Fair Value · N-NM
$10.49
Market data only
Market anchor (FV_sales)
$10.49
Community estimate
needs 5 more voters
Voters · comps
0 · 186
The band · ±16% of marketCFV $10.49
Floor $8.79Market $10.49Ceiling $12.19

The community moves this only within the glowing band - it can never detach from real market data.

Market anchor $10.49186 compsas of 2026-07-03

Est. International

Approx.
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Card details

Card Number111/108 · Rare Secret
Card TypeLightning · 50 HP · Basic
Weakness / Resistance / RetreatFighting ×2 / - / 1
ArtistToshinao Aoki
Attack
WaterWaterSurf
30

One summer, a group of Pikachu was found riding the waves at the local beach.

Graded prices

CGC 10
$132.22
model estimate
CGC 9.5
$64.00
model estimate
CGC 9
$21.98
model estimate
CGC 8.5
$24.95
3 sales · 30d
CGC 8
$23.14
inconsistent estimate
CGC 7.5
$18.07
model estimate
CGC 7
$10.50
model estimate
CGC 5.5
$16.00
inconsistent estimate
CGC 5
$13.00
inconsistent estimate

Green tiles are anchored to realized eBay sold data (daily medians); “model estimate” tiles are Scrydex modeled values (as of 2026-06-29). Struck-through tiles failed our graded data-quality checks and should not be treated as market truth.

Population report

Total graded
8,932
Gem rate (PSA 10)
21.9%
Grade 10
1,952
Grade 9
4,832
Grade 8.5
5
Grade 8
1,471
Grade 7.5
2
Grade 7
347
Grade 6.5
1
Grade 6
192
Grade 5
78
Grade 4
25
Grade 3
12
Grade 2
5
Grade 1
2
6Q
1
8Q
1
9Q
4
auth
2

PSAcensus for this card's most-graded printing · as of 2026-06-29. Gem rate = grade-10 slabs ÷ total graded.

Market Price History

Market price
$10.96
+$0.89 (+8.8%)
$10.97$9.54Jun 2026Today
31 data points over 30 days · Source: market data

Near Mint Comparison Prices

ACE_10
$191.05
BGS_8.5
$24.99
BGS_9
$26.00
CGC_8.5
$24.95
CGC_9
$19.99
N-DMG
Thin data$3.96
N-HP
$3.93
N-LP
$8.20
N-MP
$5.22
N-NM
$10.49
PSA_10
$428.46
PSA_4
$12.51
PSA_5
$40.00
PSA_6
$20.00
PSA_7
$19.73
PSA_8
$32.79
PSA_9
$58.75

Price Points

N-NM
Market Price
+23.0%Low confidence$7.13 - $13.85

Source prices are inconsistent across grades/conditions - showing a range while we sort it out. Mid estimate $10.49.

VolatilityModerate Volatility
Most Recent SaleComing soon
Listed MedianComing soon
Current QuantityComing soon
Current SellersComing soon

3 Month Snapshot

Low SaleComing soon
High SaleComing soon
Total SoldComing soon
Avg Daily SoldComing soon

Sale-based and live-listing fields arrive once a realized-sales feed is wired up. Market Price and comparisons above are real Scrydex market data - never realized sales.

Graded price history

PSA 10PSA 9PSA 8PSA 7PSA 6
$0$200$400$600PSA 10 peak · $600.00 · May 2, 2026PSA 10 low · $175.38 · Jan 13, 2026PSA 10PSA 9 peak · $380.00 · Jun 16, 2026PSA 9 low · $26.97 · Feb 23, 2026PSA 9PSA 8 peak · $101.00 · Feb 28, 2026PSA 8 low · $15.50 · Mar 5, 2026PSA 8PSA 7 peak · $34.00 · Jun 26, 2026PSA 7 low · $15.00 · Feb 24, 2026PSA 7PSA 6 peak · $35.00 · Jun 26, 2026PSA 6 low · $20.00 · Apr 8, 2026PSA 6Jan 7Jul 1
174 realized data points · daily eBay sold medians (accruing daily) · grades with fewer than 2 points are hidden until more data lands.
View data table
DateGradeRealized median
Jul 1, 2026PSA 6$20.00
Jul 1, 2026PSA 7$19.73
Jul 1, 2026PSA 8$29.93
Jul 1, 2026PSA 9$43.99
Jul 1, 2026PSA 10$371.50
Jun 26, 2026PSA 6$35.00
Jun 26, 2026PSA 7$34.00
Jun 25, 2026PSA 7$33.85
Jun 25, 2026PSA 8$34.00
Jun 25, 2026PSA 10$436.32
Jun 24, 2026PSA 10$414.45
Jun 22, 2026PSA 8$33.00
Jun 22, 2026PSA 10$306.42
Jun 21, 2026PSA 9$63.87
Jun 20, 2026PSA 7$28.99
Jun 20, 2026PSA 9$63.87
Jun 19, 2026PSA 8$50.00
Jun 18, 2026PSA 8$33.99
Jun 17, 2026PSA 10$428.46
Jun 16, 2026PSA 9$380.00
Jun 15, 2026PSA 8$32.79
Jun 14, 2026PSA 10$449.99
Jun 13, 2026PSA 9$58.75
Jun 13, 2026PSA 10$399.99
Jun 10, 2026PSA 9$63.87

Showing the 25 most recent of 174 data points.

Verified market data - based on 35 realized eBay data points · updated Jul 1, 2026

Average
$74.46
Median
$61.50
Range
$40.15 - $380.00
Data points
35

PSA 9 · last 90 days

Daily realized medians

latest 12 of 66
DatePriceSource
Jul 1, 2026$43.99eBay realized
Jun 21, 2026$63.87eBay realized
Jun 20, 2026$63.87eBay realized
Jun 16, 2026$380.00eBay realized
Jun 13, 2026$58.75eBay realized
Jun 10, 2026$63.87eBay realized
Jun 9, 2026$64.95eBay realized
Jun 6, 2026$57.33eBay realized
Jun 1, 2026$65.00eBay realized
May 30, 2026$75.22eBay realized
May 29, 2026$65.00eBay realized
May 28, 2026$53.50eBay realized

Realized rows are daily median snapshots of eBay sold data - not individual auction records.

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Your estimate · N-NM

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Community sentiment

50% bullish

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Sentiment is hype only; it is never blended into the dollar value above.

Should I grade this?

Surfing Pikachu

Raw market value $10.49Vintage · 2016
GRADE

Send it to PSAReal censusLow confidenceEst. quality: low

Grade with PSA: ~$96.06–$186.48 expected value at 46% ROI (best case PSA 10 at $414.45, ~45d, all-in $86.00). Vintage card (2016) - PSA carries the resale & liquidity premium. Top grade backed by 7 realized sales.

Expected value (range)

$96 to $186

Expected ROI

+46%

Turnaround

~45d

All-in · Regular

$86.00

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price. Best case below shows the top grade.

Best case: PSA 10· pop 1,952· $414.45→ profit $317.96realized · median of 7 sales

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Recommended
PSA (Professional Sports Authenticator)PSA

Market leader · liquidity premium

Real censusLow confidenceEst. quality: low
+46% ROI
Expected value (range)$96 to $186
Expected profit$44.78
Break-even value$96.49
All-in · Regular$86.00
Turnaround~45d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$317.96

PSA 10pop 1,952

$414.45

realized · median of 7 sales

Worst case · low grade

-$63.49

PSA 8pop 1,471

$33.00

realized · median of 7 sales

Thin census on this card, so treat the dollar figures as a range, not a precise number.

  • PSA 5 ($39.23) priced above PSA 6 ($25.35) - ladder violation
TAG (TAG Grading)TAG

Tech / CV grading · digital cert

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
-86% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$13 to $25
Expected profit-$117.58
Break-even value$136.49
All-in · TAG Standard$126.00
Turnaround~15d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$116.54

TAG 9

$19.95

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$124.51

TAG 8

$11.98

estimate

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.

  • TAG 7.5 ($16.34) priced above TAG 8 ($11.98) - ladder violation
  • no TAG population census for this card
CGC (Certified Guaranty Company)CGC

Mid-market · solid demand

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
+200% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$62 to $121
Expected profit$60.96
Break-even value$30.49
All-in · Bulk$20.00
Turnaround~120d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$101.73

CGC 10

$132.22

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$8.51

CGC 8

$21.98

estimate

Inconsistent estimate - awaiting realized solds

Comps look noisy: a lower grade was priced at or above a higher one, so values are clamped to grade order and shown as an approximate range.

  • CGC 8 ($23.14) priced above CGC 8.5 ($20.87) - ladder violation
  • CGC 5.5 ($16.00) priced above CGC 7 ($10.50) - ladder violation
  • CGC 5 ($13.00) priced above CGC 7 ($10.50) - ladder violation
  • no CGC population census for this card
ACE (ACE Grading)ACE

Budget grading · modern slabs

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
+154% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$54 to $106
Expected profit$48.64
Break-even value$31.49
All-in · Basic$21.00
Turnaround~100d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$48.64

ACE 10

$80.13

estimate

Worst case · low grade

$48.64

ACE 9

$80.13

estimate

Inconsistent estimate - awaiting realized solds

Comps look noisy: a lower grade was priced at or above a higher one, so values are clamped to grade order and shown as an approximate range.

  • ACE 9 ($107.57) priced above ACE 10 ($80.13) - ladder violation
  • no ACE population census for this card
BGS (Beckett Grading Services)BGS

Beckett · sub-grades + Black Label

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
-48% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$17 to $32
Expected profit-$22.11
Break-even value$46.49
All-in · Standard$36.00
Turnaround~35d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$21.49

BGS 9.5

$25.00

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$35.49

BGS 8

$11.00

estimate

Comps look noisy: a lower grade was priced at or above a higher one, so values are clamped to grade order and shown as an approximate range.

  • BGS 9 ($25.62) priced above BGS 9.5 ($25.00) - ladder violation
  • BGS 8.5 ($26.36) priced above BGS 9.5 ($25.00) - ladder violation
  • no BGS population census for this card