Radiant
← Back to browse

Lugia BREAK

#79

Fates Collide · Rare BREAK · EN

Community Fair Value · H-NM
$19.47
Market data only
Market anchor (FV_sales)
$19.47
Community estimate
needs 5 more voters
Voters · comps
0 · 161
The band · ±15% of marketCFV $19.47
Floor $16.55Market $19.47Ceiling $22.39

The community moves this only within the glowing band - it can never detach from real market data.

Market anchor $19.47161 compsas of 2026-07-03

Est. International

Approx.
Pro

EUR / GBP / CAD conversions are a Pro feature.

Upgrade to Pro

Card details

Card Number79/124 · Rare BREAK
Card TypeColorless · 150 HP · BREAK
Artist5ban Graphics
Card Text

BREAK Evolution Rule: Lugia BREAK retains the attacks, Abilities, Weakness, Resistance, and Retreat Cost of its previous Evolution.

Attack
ColorlessColorlessColorlessColorlessFlash of Destruction
150

Discard 2 Energy attached to this Pokémon.

Graded prices

SGC 9.5
$70.00
model estimate
SGC 9
$10.49
inconsistent estimate

“model estimate” tiles are Scrydex modeled values (as of 2026-06-29). Struck-through tiles failed our graded data-quality checks and should not be treated as market truth.

Population report

Total graded
1,677
Gem rate (PSA 10)
29.8%
Grade 10
499
Grade 9
600
Grade 8.5
2
Grade 8
334
Grade 7
132
Grade 6
60
Grade 5
25
Grade 4
6
Grade 3
3
Grade 2
4
Grade 1
7
8Q
1
9Q
3
auth
1

PSAcensus for this card's most-graded printing · as of 2026-06-29. Gem rate = grade-10 slabs ÷ total graded.

Market Price History

Market price
$28.79
+$10.90 (+60.9%)
$28.79$17.63Apr 2026Today
87 data points over 90 days · Source: market data

Near Mint Comparison Prices

BGS_9
$42.44
CGC_10
$400.00
CGC_9
$49.05
H-DMG
$5.01
H-HP
$5.63
H-LP
$18.17
H-MP
$9.08
H-NM
$19.47
PSA_1
$77.00
PSA_10
$600.00
PSA_5
$26.00
PSA_6
$13.50
PSA_7
$19.49
PSA_8
$49.99
PSA_9
$80.00

Price Points

H-NM
Market Price
+65.0%$19.47
VolatilityHigh Volatility
Most Recent SaleComing soon
Listed MedianComing soon
Current QuantityComing soon
Current SellersComing soon

3 Month Snapshot

Low SaleComing soon
High SaleComing soon
Total SoldComing soon
Avg Daily SoldComing soon

Sale-based and live-listing fields arrive once a realized-sales feed is wired up. Market Price and comparisons above are real Scrydex market data - never realized sales.

Graded price history

PSA 10PSA 9PSA 8PSA 7PSA 6
$0$200$400$600$800PSA 10 peak · $799.99 · May 27, 2026PSA 10 low · $308.00 · Feb 9, 2026PSA 10PSA 9 peak · $104.50 · Jun 3, 2026PSA 9 low · $5.00 · Mar 8, 2026PSA 9PSA 8 peak · $60.00 · May 22, 2026PSA 8 low · $24.05 · Jan 21, 2026PSA 8PSA 7 peak · $35.00 · Apr 30, 2026PSA 7 low · $18.74 · Mar 29, 2026PSA 7PSA 6 peak · $13.50 · Feb 9, 2026PSA 6Jan 19Jul 2
62 realized data points · daily eBay sold medians (accruing daily) · grades with fewer than 2 points are hidden until more data lands.
View data table
DateGradeRealized median
Jul 2, 2026PSA 6$13.50
Jul 2, 2026PSA 7$19.49
Jul 2, 2026PSA 9$69.99
Jul 2, 2026PSA 10$459.99
Jul 2, 2026PSA 8$25.00
Jul 1, 2026PSA 9$80.00
Jun 28, 2026PSA 10$690.00
Jun 20, 2026PSA 8$49.99
Jun 17, 2026PSA 10$729.00
Jun 16, 2026PSA 9$95.00
Jun 14, 2026PSA 8$55.00
Jun 13, 2026PSA 9$95.00
Jun 3, 2026PSA 9$104.50
Jun 2, 2026PSA 9$95.00
May 30, 2026PSA 9$65.00
May 30, 2026PSA 10$675.00
May 27, 2026PSA 10$799.99
May 24, 2026PSA 8$45.00
May 24, 2026PSA 10$597.78
May 22, 2026PSA 8$60.00
May 20, 2026PSA 9$51.00
May 19, 2026PSA 9$76.00
May 17, 2026PSA 9$90.00
May 17, 2026PSA 10$601.50
May 16, 2026PSA 8$37.82

Showing the 25 most recent of 62 data points.

Verified market data - based on 12 realized eBay data points · updated Jul 2, 2026

Average
$613.46
Median
$600.75
Range
$459.99 - $799.99
Data points
12

PSA 10 · last 90 days

Daily realized medians

latest 12 of 25
DatePriceSource
Jul 2, 2026$459.99eBay realized
Jun 28, 2026$690.00eBay realized
Jun 17, 2026$729.00eBay realized
May 30, 2026$675.00eBay realized
May 27, 2026$799.99eBay realized
May 24, 2026$597.78eBay realized
May 17, 2026$601.50eBay realized
May 15, 2026$580.00eBay realized
May 10, 2026$633.25eBay realized
May 3, 2026$495.00eBay realized
Apr 10, 2026$600.00eBay realized
Apr 5, 2026$500.00eBay realized

Realized rows are daily median snapshots of eBay sold data - not individual auction records.

Pro

The hold / sell / grade signal is a Pro feature

Participation is always free - Pro unlocks the edge: alerts, portfolio P&L, and the decision tools.

Upgrade to Pro

Your estimate · H-NM

Add your estimate

Think you can read the market? Guess what this H-NM actually sells for. It's a free forecasting game - score on accuracy, not on moving the price. The more you call, the more your vote counts.
Sign in - it's free

Make a call · H-NM

No open calls yet

Call the direction: up or down ≥5% within your horizon. Timestamped, auto-resolved, and permanently on your public track record.

Call this market

Think this H-NM moves ≥5% soon? Put it on the record - free, timestamped, auto-scored. Build a track record nobody can fake.
Sign in to make a call

Community sentiment

50% bullish

Call the trend

Is this card heating up or cooling off? Sign in to mark it bullish or bearish - free, and your read sharpens the community gauge.
Sign in to vote sentiment

Sentiment is hype only; it is never blended into the dollar value above.

Should I grade this?

Lugia BREAK

Raw market value $19.47Vintage · 2016
GRADE

Send it to PSAReal censusLow confidenceEst. quality: low

Grade with PSA: ~$196.22–$380.90 expected value at 174% ROI (best case PSA 10 at $690.00, ~45d, all-in $86.00). Vintage card (2016) - PSA carries the resale & liquidity premium. Top grade backed by 3 realized sales.

Expected value (range)

$196 to $381

Expected ROI

+174%

Turnaround

~45d

All-in · Regular

$86.00

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price. Best case below shows the top grade.

Best case: PSA 10· pop 499· $690.00→ profit $584.53realized · median of 3 sales

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Recommended
PSA (Professional Sports Authenticator)PSA

Market leader · liquidity premium

Real censusLow confidenceEst. quality: low
+174% ROI
Expected value (range)$196 to $381
Expected profit$183.09
Break-even value$105.47
All-in · Regular$86.00
Turnaround~45d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$584.53

PSA 10pop 499

$690.00

realized · median of 3 sales

Worst case · low grade

-$55.48

PSA 8pop 334

$49.99

realized · median of 3 sales

Thin census on this card, so treat the dollar figures as a range, not a precise number.

  • PSA 5 ($26.00) priced above PSA 6 ($13.80) - ladder violation
  • PSA 1 ($77.00) priced above PSA 6 ($13.80) - ladder violation
TAG (TAG Grading)TAG

Tech / CV grading · digital cert

EstimatedLow confidence
+326% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$422 to $818
Expected profit$474.52
Break-even value$145.47
All-in · TAG Standard$126.00
Turnaround~15d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$654.52

TAG 10

$799.99

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$65.48

TAG 9

$79.99

estimate

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.

CGC (Certified Guaranty Company)CGC

Mid-market · solid demand

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
+94% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$52 to $101
Expected profit$37.01
Break-even value$39.47
All-in · Bulk$20.00
Turnaround~120d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$55.45

CGC 10

$94.92

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$23.06

CGC 8

$16.41

estimate

Inconsistent estimate - awaiting realized solds

Comps look noisy: a lower grade was priced at or above a higher one, so values are clamped to grade order and shown as an approximate range.

  • CGC 8 ($24.91) priced above CGC 8.5 ($16.41) - ladder violation
  • no CGC population census for this card