Ultra Ball

#186

Brilliant Stars · Rare Secret · EN

Community Fair Value · H-NM

$18.65

Market data only

Market anchor (FV_sales)

$18.65

Community estimate

needs 5 more voters

Voters · comps

0 · 7

The band · ±16% of marketCFV $18.65

Floor $15.62Market $18.65Ceiling $21.68

The community moves this only within the glowing band - it can never detach from real market data.

Market anchor $18.657 compsas of 2026-06-29

Est. International

Approx.

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Card details

Card Number186/172 · Rare Secret

Card TypeItem

Artistsadaji

Card Text

You can use this card only if you discard 2 other cards from your hand. Search your deck for a Pokémon, reveal it, and put it into your hand. Then, shuffle your deck.

You may play any number of Item cards during your turn.

Graded prices

PSA 10

$40.86

model estimate

PSA 9

$24.30

model estimate

PSA 8

$18.34

model estimate

“model estimate” tiles are Scrydex modeled values (as of 2026-06-29). Struck-through tiles failed our graded data-quality checks and should not be treated as market truth.

Population report

Total graded

958

Gem rate (PSA 10)

39.2%

Grade 10

376

Grade 9

438

Grade 8

107

Grade 7

Grade 6

Grade 5

Grade 4

PSAcensus for this card's most-graded printing · as of 2026-06-29. Gem rate = grade-10 slabs ÷ total graded.

Market Price History

Market price

$17.63

-$3.22 (-15.4%)

97 data points over 101 days · Source: market data

Near Mint Comparison Prices

CGC_10

$33.49

CGC_9

$14.77

H-DMG

$14.99

H-HP

$15.96

H-LP

Thin data$20.30

H-MP

$18.31

H-NM

$18.65

PSA_10

$49.99

PSA_8

$25.00

PSA_9

$18.70

SGC_9.5

$10.50

Price Points

H-NM

Market Price

-15.4%Low confidence$12.68 - $24.62

Source prices are inconsistent across grades/conditions - showing a range while we sort it out. Mid estimate $18.65.

VolatilityModerate Volatility

Most Recent SaleComing soon

Listed MedianComing soon

Current QuantityComing soon

Current SellersComing soon

3 Month Snapshot

Low SaleComing soon

High SaleComing soon

Total SoldComing soon

Avg Daily SoldComing soon

Sale-based and live-listing fields arrive once a realized-sales feed is wired up. Market Price and comparisons above are real Scrydex market data - never realized sales.

Graded price history

Realized graded history accrues daily from eBay sold data - check back soon.

Recent sales

Verified market data - based on 1 realized eBay data point · updated Jul 1, 2026

Average

$49.99

Median

$49.99

Range

$49.99 - $49.99

Data points

PSA 10 · last 90 days

Daily realized medians

latest 1 of 1

Date	Price	Source
Jul 1, 2026	$49.99	eBay realized

Realized rows are daily median snapshots of eBay sold data - not individual auction records.

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Your estimate · H-NM

Add your estimate

Think you can read the market? Guess what this H-NM actually sells for. It's a free forecasting game - score on accuracy, not on moving the price. The more you call, the more your vote counts.

Make a call · H-NM

No open calls yet

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Community sentiment

50% bullish

Call the trend

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Sentiment is hype only; it is never blended into the dollar value above.

Should I grade this?

Ultra Ball

Raw market value $18.65Modern · 2022

HOLD

Hold for now

Hold, grading isn't worth it: best option (PSA) only nets -$74.28 at -71% ROI (need $15.00 and 25%).

Market leader · liquidity premium

Real censusHigh confidence

-71% ROI (est.)

Expected value$30.37

Expected profit-$74.28

Break-even value$104.65

All-in · Regular$86.00

Turnaround~45d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$63.79

PSA 10pop 376

$40.86

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$86.31

PSA 8pop 107

$18.34

estimate

Mid-market · solid demand

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low

-37% ROI (est.)

Expected value (range)$17 to $32

Expected profit-$14.34

Break-even value$38.65

All-in · Bulk$20.00

Turnaround~120d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$1.48

CGC 10 (Pristine)

$37.17

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$25.65

CGC 8

$13.00

estimate

Comps look noisy: a lower grade was priced at or above a higher one, so values are clamped to grade order and shown as an approximate range.

CGC 8.5 ($25.00) priced above CGC 9 ($15.49) - ladder violation
CGC 9 ($15.49) is below the raw NM value ($18.65) - the graded or raw estimate is wrong
no CGC population census for this card