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Ultra Ball

#186

Brilliant Stars · Rare Secret · EN

Community Fair Value · H-NM
$19.87
Market data only
Market anchor (FV_sales)
$19.87
Community estimate
needs 5 more voters
Voters · comps
0 · 193
The band · ±15% of marketCFV $19.87
Floor $16.89Market $19.87Ceiling $22.85

The community moves this only within the glowing band - it can never detach from real market data.

Market anchor $19.87193 compsas of 2026-07-03

Est. International

Approx.
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Card details

Card Number186/172 · Rare Secret
Card TypeItem
Artistsadaji
Card Text

You can use this card only if you discard 2 other cards from your hand. Search your deck for a Pokémon, reveal it, and put it into your hand. Then, shuffle your deck.

You may play any number of Item cards during your turn.

Graded prices

CGC 10 (Pristine)
$37.17
model estimate
CGC 10
$26.92
model estimate
CGC 9
$15.49
inconsistent estimate
CGC 8.5
$25.00
inconsistent estimate
CGC 8
$13.00
model estimate

“model estimate” tiles are Scrydex modeled values (as of 2026-06-29). Struck-through tiles failed our graded data-quality checks and should not be treated as market truth.

Population report

Total graded
958
Gem rate (PSA 10)
39.2%
Grade 10
376
Grade 9
438
Grade 8
107
Grade 7
20
Grade 6
7
Grade 5
4
Grade 4
2
9Q
4

PSAcensus for this card's most-graded printing · as of 2026-06-29. Gem rate = grade-10 slabs ÷ total graded.

Market Price History

Market price
$17.63
-$2.47 (-12.3%)
$20.10$17.63Jun 2026Today
31 data points over 30 days · Source: market data

Near Mint Comparison Prices

CGC_10
$33.49
CGC_9
$14.77
H-DMG
$14.99
H-HP
$15.96
H-LP
Thin data$20.30
H-MP
$18.31
H-NM
$19.87
PSA_10
$49.99
PSA_8
$25.00
PSA_9
$18.70
SGC_9.5
$10.50

Price Points

H-NM
Market Price
-15.4%Low confidence$13.51 - $26.23

Source prices are inconsistent across grades/conditions - showing a range while we sort it out. Mid estimate $19.87.

VolatilityModerate Volatility
Most Recent SaleComing soon
Listed MedianComing soon
Current QuantityComing soon
Current SellersComing soon

3 Month Snapshot

Low SaleComing soon
High SaleComing soon
Total SoldComing soon
Avg Daily SoldComing soon

Sale-based and live-listing fields arrive once a realized-sales feed is wired up. Market Price and comparisons above are real Scrydex market data - never realized sales.

Graded price history

PSA 10PSA 9CGC 10CGC 9SGC 9.5
$20$40$60$80PSA 10 peak · $78.64 · Feb 17, 2026PSA 10 low · $39.00 · Jun 11, 2026PSA 10PSA 9 peak · $80.00 · Apr 21, 2026PSA 9 low · $14.50 · Feb 25, 2026PSA 9CGC 10 peak · $49.99 · Feb 17, 2026CGC 10 low · $33.49 · Mar 20, 2026CGC 10CGC 9 peak · $14.77 · Feb 18, 2026CGC 9SGC 9.5 peak · $10.50 · Apr 27, 2026SGC 9.5Jan 12Jul 1
26 realized data points · daily eBay sold medians (accruing daily) · grades with fewer than 2 points are hidden until more data lands.
View data table
DateGradeRealized median
Jul 1, 2026SGC 9.5$10.50
Jul 1, 2026CGC 9$14.77
Jul 1, 2026CGC 10$33.49
Jul 1, 2026PSA 9$18.70
Jul 1, 2026PSA 10$49.99
Jun 19, 2026PSA 10$49.99
Jun 11, 2026PSA 10$39.00
May 24, 2026PSA 9$15.50
May 21, 2026PSA 10$45.00
May 9, 2026PSA 9$30.00
Apr 27, 2026SGC 9.5$10.50
Apr 21, 2026PSA 9$80.00
Apr 14, 2026PSA 10$55.00
Apr 4, 2026PSA 10$48.00
Mar 21, 2026PSA 10$55.00
Mar 20, 2026CGC 10$33.49
Mar 6, 2026PSA 9$24.99
Feb 25, 2026PSA 9$14.50
Feb 22, 2026PSA 10$56.00
Feb 18, 2026CGC 9$14.77
Feb 17, 2026CGC 10$49.99
Feb 17, 2026PSA 10$78.64
Feb 6, 2026PSA 9$14.99
Jan 19, 2026PSA 10$59.99
Jan 18, 2026PSA 10$40.00

Showing the 25 most recent of 26 data points.

Verified market data - based on 5 realized eBay data points · updated Jul 1, 2026

Average
$47.80
Median
$49.99
Range
$39.00 - $55.00
Data points
5

PSA 10 · last 90 days

Daily realized medians

latest 11 of 11
DatePriceSource
Jul 1, 2026$49.99eBay realized
Jun 19, 2026$49.99eBay realized
Jun 11, 2026$39.00eBay realized
May 21, 2026$45.00eBay realized
Apr 14, 2026$55.00eBay realized
Apr 4, 2026$48.00eBay realized
Mar 21, 2026$55.00eBay realized
Feb 22, 2026$56.00eBay realized
Feb 17, 2026$78.64eBay realized
Jan 19, 2026$59.99eBay realized
Jan 18, 2026$40.00eBay realized

Realized rows are daily median snapshots of eBay sold data - not individual auction records.

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Your estimate · H-NM

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Community sentiment

50% bullish

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Sentiment is hype only; it is never blended into the dollar value above.

Should I grade this?

Ultra Ball

Raw market value $19.87Modern · 2022
HOLD

Hold for now

Hold, grading isn't worth it: best option (PSA) only nets -$74.44 at -70% ROI (need $15.00 and 25%).

PSA (Professional Sports Authenticator)PSA

Market leader · liquidity premium

Real censusHigh confidence
-70% ROI
Expected value$31.43
Expected profit-$74.44
Break-even value$105.87
All-in · Regular$86.00
Turnaround~45d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$55.88

PSA 10pop 376

$49.99

realized · median of 3 sales

Worst case · low grade

-$87.53

PSA 8pop 107

$18.34

estimate

CGC (Certified Guaranty Company)CGC

Mid-market · solid demand

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
-39% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$17 to $32
Expected profit-$15.56
Break-even value$39.87
All-in · Bulk$20.00
Turnaround~120d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$2.70

CGC 10 (Pristine)

$37.17

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$26.87

CGC 8

$13.00

estimate

Comps look noisy: a lower grade was priced at or above a higher one, so values are clamped to grade order and shown as an approximate range.

  • CGC 8.5 ($25.00) priced above CGC 9 ($15.49) - ladder violation
  • CGC 9 ($15.49) is below the raw NM value ($19.87) - the graded or raw estimate is wrong
  • no CGC population census for this card