Toxtricity

#SV042

Shining Fates Shiny Vault · Rare Shiny · EN

Community Fair Value · H-NM

$1.74

Market data only

Market anchor (FV_sales)

$1.74

Community estimate

needs 5 more voters

Voters · comps

0 · 7

The band · ±16% of marketCFV $1.74

Floor $1.46Market $1.74Ceiling $2.02

The community moves this only within the glowing band - it can never detach from real market data.

Market anchor $1.747 compsas of 2026-06-29

Est. International

Approx.

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Card details

Card NumberSV042/SV122 · Rare Shiny

Card TypeLightning · 120 HP · Stage 1

Weakness / Resistance / RetreatFighting ×2 / - / 2

ArtistHideki Ishikawa

Attacks

ColorlessColorlessRisk Taker

Flip a coin. If heads, discard the top 5 cards of your opponent's deck. If tails, discard the top 5 cards of your deck.

LightningLightningColorlessThunder Jolt

160

This Pokémon also does 30 damage to itself.

When this Pokémon sounds as if it's strumming a guitar, it's actually clawing at the protrusions on its chest to generate electricity.

Graded prices

CGC 10

$30.00

model estimate

CGC 9.5

$19.99

model estimate

CGC 9

$15.00

model estimate

CGC 8.5

$2.75

model estimate

CGC 7

$12.00

inconsistent estimate

“model estimate” tiles are Scrydex modeled values (as of 2026-06-29). Struck-through tiles failed our graded data-quality checks and should not be treated as market truth.

Population report

Total graded

214

Gem rate (PSA 10)

43.5%

Grade 10

Grade 9

Grade 8.5

Grade 8

Grade 7

Grade 6

PSAcensus for this card's most-graded printing · as of 2026-06-29. Gem rate = grade-10 slabs ÷ total graded.

Market Price History

Market price

$1.83

+$0.51 (+38.6%)

98 data points over 102 days · Source: market data

Near Mint Comparison Prices

H-DMG

$0.70

H-HP

Thin data$1.39

H-LP

$1.37

H-MP

$1.25

H-NM

$1.74

Price Points

H-NM

Market Price

+38.6%Low confidence$1.18 - $2.30

Source prices are inconsistent across grades/conditions - showing a range while we sort it out. Mid estimate $1.74.

VolatilityModerate Volatility

Most Recent SaleComing soon

Listed MedianComing soon

Current QuantityComing soon

Current SellersComing soon

3 Month Snapshot

Low SaleComing soon

High SaleComing soon

Total SoldComing soon

Avg Daily SoldComing soon

Sale-based and live-listing fields arrive once a realized-sales feed is wired up. Market Price and comparisons above are real Scrydex market data - never realized sales.

Graded price history

Realized graded history accrues daily from eBay sold data - check back soon.

Recent sales

Model estimate - no realized sales captured yet for this grade.

Average

$1.81

Median

$1.84

Range

$1.72 - $1.90

Data points

Raw NM (Holo, Near Mint) · last 90 days

Daily realized medians

latest 12 of 14

Date	Price	Source
Jun 29, 2026	$1.74	market
Jun 29, 2026	$1.74	market
Jun 28, 2026	$1.72	market
Jun 28, 2026	$1.72	market
Jun 22, 2026	$1.84	market
Jun 22, 2026	$1.84	market
Jun 15, 2026	$1.85	market
Jun 15, 2026	$1.85	market
May 30, 2026	$1.90	market
May 30, 2026	$1.90	market
Mar 31, 2026	$1.27	market
Mar 31, 2026	$1.27	market

Realized rows are daily median snapshots of eBay sold data - not individual auction records.

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Your estimate · H-NM

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Make a call · H-NM

No open calls yet

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Community sentiment

50% bullish

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Sentiment is hype only; it is never blended into the dollar value above.

Should I grade this?

Toxtricity

Raw market value $1.74Modern · 2021

HOLD

Hold for now

Hold, grading isn't worth it: best option (PSA) only nets -$59.07 at -67% ROI (need $15.00 and 25%).

Market leader · liquidity premium

Real censusLow confidenceEst. quality: low

-67% ROI (est.)

Expected value (range)$20 to $38

Expected profit-$59.07

Break-even value$87.74

All-in · Regular$86.00

Turnaround~45d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$45.41

PSA 10pop 93

$42.33

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$70.32

PSA 8pop 20

$17.42

estimate

Inconsistent estimate - awaiting realized solds

Comps look noisy: a lower grade was priced at or above a higher one, so values are clamped to grade order and shown as an approximate range.

PSA 8 ($20.00) priced above PSA 9 ($17.42) - ladder violation

Mid-market · solid demand

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low

+12% ROI (est.)

Expected value (range)$17 to $32

Expected profit$2.69

Break-even value$21.74

All-in · Bulk$20.00

Turnaround~120d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$8.26

CGC 10

$30.00

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$18.99

CGC 8.5

$2.75

estimate

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.

CGC 7 ($12.00) priced above CGC 8.5 ($2.75) - ladder violation
no CGC population census for this card