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Colress's Experiment

#205

Lost Origin · Rare Rainbow · EN

Community Fair Value · H-NM
$3.47
Market data only
Market anchor (FV_sales)
$3.47
Community estimate
needs 5 more voters
Voters · comps
0 · 193
The band · ±15% of marketCFV $3.47
Floor $2.95Market $3.47Ceiling $3.99

The community moves this only within the glowing band - it can never detach from real market data.

Market anchor $3.47193 compsas of 2026-07-03

Est. International

Approx.
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Card details

Card Number205/196 · Rare Rainbow
Card TypeSupporter
ArtistNaoki Saito
Card Text

Look at the top 5 cards of your deck and put 3 of them into your hand. Put the other cards in the Lost Zone.

You may play only 1 Supporter card during your turn.

Graded prices

PSA 10
$34.99
5 sales · 60d
PSA 9
$13.50
2 sales · 60d
PSA 8
$8.00
model estimate

Green tiles are anchored to realized eBay sold data (daily medians); “model estimate” tiles are Scrydex modeled values (as of 2026-06-29). Struck-through tiles failed our graded data-quality checks and should not be treated as market truth.

Population report

Total graded
259
Gem rate (PSA 10)
46.3%
Grade 10
120
Grade 9
95
Grade 8
31
Grade 7
9
Grade 6
1
Grade 5
2
9Q
1

PSAcensus for this card's most-graded printing · as of 2026-06-29. Gem rate = grade-10 slabs ÷ total graded.

Market Price History

Market price
$3.69
+$0.18 (+5.1%)
$3.69$3.33Jun 2026Today
31 data points over 30 days · Source: market data

Near Mint Comparison Prices

CGC_9
$10.99
H-DMG
$2.10
H-HP
$2.98
H-LP
$3.23
H-MP
$3.19
H-NM
$3.47
PSA_10
$34.99
PSA_8
$7.50
PSA_9
$15.00
TAG_10
$6.50

Price Points

H-NM
Market Price
+21.8%$3.47
VolatilityModerate Volatility
Most Recent SaleComing soon
Listed MedianComing soon
Current QuantityComing soon
Current SellersComing soon

3 Month Snapshot

Low SaleComing soon
High SaleComing soon
Total SoldComing soon
Avg Daily SoldComing soon

Sale-based and live-listing fields arrive once a realized-sales feed is wired up. Market Price and comparisons above are real Scrydex market data - never realized sales.

Graded price history

PSA 10PSA 9CGC 9TAG 10
$10$20$30$40PSA 10 peak · $40.00 · May 25, 2026PSA 10 low · $29.65 · May 10, 2026PSA 10PSA 9 peak · $19.00 · Mar 30, 2026PSA 9 low · $8.50 · Feb 10, 2026PSA 9CGC 9 peak · $10.99 · May 22, 2026CGC 9TAG 10 peak · $6.50 · Feb 26, 2026TAG 10Feb 10Jun 28
14 realized data points · daily eBay sold medians (accruing daily) · grades with fewer than 2 points are hidden until more data lands.
View data table
DateGradeRealized median
Jun 28, 2026TAG 10$6.50
Jun 28, 2026CGC 9$10.99
Jun 28, 2026PSA 9$15.00
Jun 28, 2026PSA 10$34.99
Jun 13, 2026PSA 9$12.00
May 25, 2026PSA 10$40.00
May 23, 2026PSA 10$34.99
May 22, 2026CGC 9$10.99
May 11, 2026PSA 10$39.99
May 10, 2026PSA 10$29.65
Mar 30, 2026PSA 9$19.00
Mar 20, 2026PSA 10$34.98
Feb 26, 2026TAG 10$6.50
Feb 10, 2026PSA 9$8.50

Verified market data - based on 5 realized eBay data points · updated Jun 28, 2026

Average
$35.92
Median
$34.99
Range
$29.65 - $40.00
Data points
5

PSA 10 · last 90 days

Daily realized medians

latest 6 of 6
DatePriceSource
Jun 28, 2026$34.99eBay realized
May 25, 2026$40.00eBay realized
May 23, 2026$34.99eBay realized
May 11, 2026$39.99eBay realized
May 10, 2026$29.65eBay realized
Mar 20, 2026$34.98eBay realized

Realized rows are daily median snapshots of eBay sold data - not individual auction records.

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Your estimate · H-NM

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Think you can read the market? Guess what this H-NM actually sells for. It's a free forecasting game - score on accuracy, not on moving the price. The more you call, the more your vote counts.
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Make a call · H-NM

No open calls yet

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Community sentiment

50% bullish

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Sentiment is hype only; it is never blended into the dollar value above.

Should I grade this?

Colress's Experiment

Raw market value $3.47Modern · 2022
HOLD

Hold for now

Hold, grading isn't worth it: best option (PSA) only nets -$66.18 at -74% ROI (need $15.00 and 25%).

PSA (Professional Sports Authenticator)PSA

Market leader · liquidity premium

Real censusHigh confidence
-74% ROI
Expected value$23.29
Expected profit-$66.18
Break-even value$89.47
All-in · Regular$86.00
Turnaround~45d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$54.48

PSA 10pop 120

$34.99

realized · median of 5 sales

Worst case · low grade

-$81.47

PSA 8pop 31

$8.00

estimate

TAG (TAG Grading)TAG

Tech / CV grading · digital cert

EstimatedLow confidence
-95% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$4 to $9
Expected profit-$122.97
Break-even value$129.47
All-in · TAG Standard$126.00
Turnaround~15d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$122.97

TAG 10

$6.50

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$122.97

TAG 10

$6.50

estimate

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.

CGC (Certified Guaranty Company)CGC

Mid-market · solid demand

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
-66% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$5 to $10
Expected profit-$15.60
Break-even value$23.47
All-in · Bulk$20.00
Turnaround~120d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$17.48

CGC 9.5

$5.99

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$12.48

CGC 9

$10.99

realized · median of 2 sales

Comps look noisy: a lower grade was priced at or above a higher one, so values are clamped to grade order and shown as an approximate range.

  • CGC 9 ($10.99) priced above CGC 9.5 ($5.99) - ladder violation
  • no CGC population census for this card