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Spheal

#199

Surging Sparks · Illustration Rare · EN

Community Fair Value · H-NM
$10.55
Market data only
Market anchor (FV_sales)
$10.55
Community estimate
needs 5 more voters
Voters · comps
0 · 193
The band · ±24% of marketCFV $10.55
Floor $7.97Market $10.55Ceiling $13.13

The community moves this only within the glowing band - it can never detach from real market data.

Market anchor $10.55193 compsas of 2026-07-03

Est. International

Approx.
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Card details

Card Number199/191 · Illustration Rare
Card TypeWater · 70 HP · Basic
Weakness / Resistance / RetreatMetal ×2 / - / 2
Artistmiki kudo
Attack
WaterPowder Snow
10

Your opponent's Active Pokémon is now Asleep.

This Pokémon's body is covered in blubber and impressively round. It's faster for Spheal to roll around than walk.

Graded prices

SGC 9.5
$12.99
model estimate
SGC 9
$8.00
inconsistent estimate

“model estimate” tiles are Scrydex modeled values (as of 2026-06-29). Struck-through tiles failed our graded data-quality checks and should not be treated as market truth.

Population report

Total graded
4,645
Gem rate (PSA 10)
31.9%
Grade 10
1,483
Grade 9
2,529
Grade 8.5
18
Grade 8
520
Grade 7.5
1
Grade 7
56
Grade 6
29
Grade 5
7
Grade 4
2

PSAcensus for this card's most-graded printing · as of 2026-06-29. Gem rate = grade-10 slabs ÷ total graded.

Market Price History

Market price
$10.42
+$3.55 (+51.7%)
$11.29$5.87$10.42Apr 2026Today
84 data points over 90 days · Source: market data

Near Mint Comparison Prices

ACE_10
$60.31
ACE_9
$19.91
BGS_9.5
$51.40
CGC_10
$38.99
CGC_8.5
$16.05
CGC_9
$9.40
H-DMG
Thin data$5.63
H-HP
$5.00
H-LP
$9.57
H-MP
$5.75
H-NM
$10.55
PSA_10
$104.50
PSA_5
$14.95
PSA_8
$13.50
PSA_8.5
$19.99
PSA_9
$19.99
TAG_10
$110.00
TAG_9
$20.00

Price Points

H-NM
Market Price
+75.7%Low confidence$7.17 - $13.93

Source prices are inconsistent across grades/conditions - showing a range while we sort it out. Mid estimate $10.55.

VolatilityHigh Volatility
Most Recent SaleComing soon
Listed MedianComing soon
Current QuantityComing soon
Current SellersComing soon

3 Month Snapshot

Low SaleComing soon
High SaleComing soon
Total SoldComing soon
Avg Daily SoldComing soon

Sale-based and live-listing fields arrive once a realized-sales feed is wired up. Market Price and comparisons above are real Scrydex market data - never realized sales.

Graded price history

PSA 10PSA 9PSA 8.5PSA 8PSA 5
$0$50$100$150$200PSA 10 peak · $199.00 · Jun 3, 2026PSA 10 low · $51.00 · Mar 15, 2026PSA 10PSA 9 peak · $62.00 · Feb 15, 2026PSA 9 low · $12.45 · Feb 1, 2026PSA 9PSA 8.5 peak · $19.99 · Jun 14, 2026PSA 8.5PSA 8 peak · $20.36 · Jun 25, 2026PSA 8 low · $9.50 · Mar 17, 2026PSA 8PSA 5 peak · $14.95 · Apr 27, 2026PSA 5Jan 6Jul 2
140 realized data points · daily eBay sold medians (accruing daily) · grades with fewer than 2 points are hidden until more data lands.
View data table
DateGradeRealized median
Jul 2, 2026PSA 5$14.95
Jul 2, 2026PSA 8.5$19.99
Jul 2, 2026PSA 8$12.20
Jul 2, 2026PSA 9$17.50
Jul 2, 2026PSA 10$75.00
Jun 29, 2026PSA 9$23.50
Jun 28, 2026PSA 9$12.61
Jun 28, 2026PSA 10$102.50
Jun 26, 2026PSA 9$22.99
Jun 26, 2026PSA 10$122.50
Jun 25, 2026PSA 8$20.36
Jun 25, 2026PSA 9$23.99
Jun 23, 2026PSA 9$23.75
Jun 23, 2026PSA 10$140.00
Jun 22, 2026PSA 10$132.50
Jun 21, 2026PSA 9$25.00
Jun 18, 2026PSA 9$15.00
Jun 16, 2026PSA 10$86.00
Jun 14, 2026PSA 8.5$19.99
Jun 14, 2026PSA 9$19.99
Jun 13, 2026PSA 9$29.99
Jun 8, 2026PSA 10$104.50
Jun 7, 2026PSA 9$20.50
Jun 7, 2026PSA 10$161.50
Jun 3, 2026PSA 9$19.99

Showing the 25 most recent of 140 data points.

Verified market data - based on 33 realized eBay data points · updated Jul 2, 2026

Average
$20.64
Median
$19.99
Range
$12.61 - $39.00
Data points
33

PSA 9 · last 90 days

Daily realized medians

latest 12 of 70
DatePriceSource
Jul 2, 2026$17.50eBay realized
Jun 29, 2026$23.50eBay realized
Jun 28, 2026$12.61eBay realized
Jun 26, 2026$22.99eBay realized
Jun 25, 2026$23.99eBay realized
Jun 23, 2026$23.75eBay realized
Jun 21, 2026$25.00eBay realized
Jun 18, 2026$15.00eBay realized
Jun 14, 2026$19.99eBay realized
Jun 13, 2026$29.99eBay realized
Jun 7, 2026$20.50eBay realized
Jun 3, 2026$19.99eBay realized

Realized rows are daily median snapshots of eBay sold data - not individual auction records.

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Your estimate · H-NM

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Community sentiment

50% bullish

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Sentiment is hype only; it is never blended into the dollar value above.

Should I grade this?

Spheal

Raw market value $10.55Modern · 2024
HOLD

Hold for now

Hold, grading isn't worth it: best option (PSA) only nets -$45.16 at -47% ROI (need $15.00 and 25%).

PSA (Professional Sports Authenticator)PSA

Market leader · liquidity premium

Real censusLow confidenceEst. quality: low
-47% ROI
Expected value (range)$35 to $68
Expected profit-$45.16
Break-even value$96.55
All-in · Regular$86.00
Turnaround~45d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$16.95

PSA 10pop 1,483

$113.50

realized · median of 8 sales

Worst case · low grade

-$83.05

PSA 8pop 520

$13.50

realized · median of 3 sales

Thin census on this card, so treat the dollar figures as a range, not a precise number.

  • PSA 7 ($8.82) priced above PSA 7.5 ($7.00) - ladder violation
  • PSA 5 ($14.93) priced above PSA 6 ($6.00) - ladder violation
TAG (TAG Grading)TAG

Tech / CV grading · digital cert

EstimatedLow confidence
-35% ROI
Expected value (range)$60 to $117
Expected profit-$47.93
Break-even value$136.55
All-in · TAG Standard$126.00
Turnaround~15d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$26.55

TAG 10

$110.00

realized · median of 3 sales

Worst case · low grade

-$112.07

TAG 9

$24.48

realized · median of 2 sales

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.

CGC (Certified Guaranty Company)CGC

Mid-market · solid demand

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
+14% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$24 to $46
Expected profit$4.26
Break-even value$30.55
All-in · Bulk$20.00
Turnaround~120d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$70.99

CGC 10 (Pristine)

$101.54

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$21.15

CGC 8.5

$9.40

estimate

Inconsistent estimate - awaiting realized solds

Comps look noisy: a lower grade was priced at or above a higher one, so values are clamped to grade order and shown as an approximate range.

  • CGC 8.5 ($16.05) priced above CGC 9 ($9.90) - ladder violation
  • CGC 7.5 ($11.00) priced above CGC 9 ($9.90) - ladder violation
  • CGC 9 ($9.90) is below the raw NM value ($10.55) - the graded or raw estimate is wrong
  • no CGC population census for this card
ACE (ACE Grading)ACE

Budget grading · modern slabs

EstimatedLow confidence
+18% ROI
Expected value (range)$25 to $49
Expected profit$5.81
Break-even value$31.55
All-in · Basic$21.00
Turnaround~100d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$28.48

ACE 10

$60.03

realized · median of 2 sales

Worst case · low grade

-$11.82

ACE 9

$19.73

realized · median of 3 sales

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.

BGS (Beckett Grading Services)BGS

Beckett · sub-grades + Black Label

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
+10% ROI
Expected value (range)$35 to $68
Expected profit$4.85
Break-even value$46.55
All-in · Standard$36.00
Turnaround~35d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$4.85

BGS 9.5

$51.40

realized · median of 3 sales

Worst case · low grade

$4.85

BGS 9.5

$51.40

realized · median of 3 sales

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.

  • BGS 1 ($250.00) priced above BGS 9.5 ($44.13) - ladder violation
  • no BGS population census for this card