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Noibat

#194

Paldean Fates · Shiny Rare · EN

Community Fair Value · H-NM
$5.12
Market data only
Market anchor (FV_sales)
$5.12
Community estimate
needs 5 more voters
Voters · comps
0 · 7
The band · ±16% of marketCFV $5.12
Floor $4.29Market $5.12Ceiling $5.95

The community moves this only within the glowing band - it can never detach from real market data.

Market anchor $5.127 compsas of 2026-06-29

Est. International

Approx.
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Card details

Card Number194/091 · Shiny Rare
Card TypeDragon · 70 HP · Basic
Weakness / Resistance / Retreat- / - / 1
ArtistNelnal
Attack
PsychicDarknessGust
40

This Pokémon emits ultrasonic waves from its large ears to search for fruit to eat. It mistakes Applin for its food.

Graded prices

CGC 10
$14.96
model estimate
CGC 9.5
$6.00
model estimate
CGC 9
$5.06
inconsistent estimate
CGC 8.5
$9.96
inconsistent estimate

“model estimate” tiles are Scrydex modeled values (as of 2026-06-29). Struck-through tiles failed our graded data-quality checks and should not be treated as market truth.

Population report

Total graded
80
Gem rate (PSA 10)
53.8%
Grade 10
43
Grade 9
32
Grade 8
5

PSAcensus for this card's most-graded printing · as of 2026-06-29. Gem rate = grade-10 slabs ÷ total graded.

Market Price History

Market price
$5.24
+$1.17 (+28.7%)
$5.45$3.95$5.24Mar 2026Today
98 data points over 102 days · Source: market data

Near Mint Comparison Prices

H-LP
$3.98
H-MP
Thin data$4.11
H-NM
$5.12

Price Points

H-NM
Market Price
+28.7%Low confidence$3.48 - $6.76

Source prices are inconsistent across grades/conditions - showing a range while we sort it out. Mid estimate $5.12.

VolatilityModerate Volatility
Most Recent SaleComing soon
Listed MedianComing soon
Current QuantityComing soon
Current SellersComing soon

3 Month Snapshot

Low SaleComing soon
High SaleComing soon
Total SoldComing soon
Avg Daily SoldComing soon

Sale-based and live-listing fields arrive once a realized-sales feed is wired up. Market Price and comparisons above are real Scrydex market data - never realized sales.

Graded price history

Realized graded history accrues daily from eBay sold data - check back soon.

Recent sales

Model estimate - no realized sales captured yet for this grade.

Average
$5.03
Median
$5.12
Range
$4.50 - $5.35
Data points
10

Raw NM (Holo, Near Mint) · last 90 days

Daily realized medians

latest 12 of 14
DatePriceSource
Jun 29, 2026$5.21market
Jun 29, 2026$5.21market
Jun 28, 2026$5.12market
Jun 28, 2026$5.12market
Jun 22, 2026$4.98market
Jun 22, 2026$4.98market
Jun 15, 2026$5.35market
Jun 15, 2026$5.35market
May 30, 2026$4.50market
May 30, 2026$4.50market
Mar 31, 2026$4.06market
Mar 31, 2026$4.06market

Realized rows are daily median snapshots of eBay sold data - not individual auction records.

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Your estimate · H-NM

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Community sentiment

50% bullish

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Sentiment is hype only; it is never blended into the dollar value above.

Should I grade this?

Noibat

Raw market value $5.12Modern · 2024
HOLD

Hold for now

Hold, grading isn't worth it: best option (PSA) only nets -$57.29 at -63% ROI (need $15.00 and 25%).

PSA (Professional Sports Authenticator)PSA

Market leader · liquidity premium

Real censusHigh confidence
-63% ROI (est.)
Expected value$33.83
Expected profit-$57.29
Break-even value$91.12
All-in · Regular$86.00
Turnaround~45d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$43.87

PSA 10pop 43

$47.25

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$75.33

PSA 9pop 32

$15.79

estimate

CGC (Certified Guaranty Company)CGC

Mid-market · solid demand

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
-57% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$7 to $14
Expected profit-$14.23
Break-even value$25.12
All-in · Bulk$20.00
Turnaround~120d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$10.16

CGC 10

$14.96

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$20.06

CGC 8.5

$5.06

estimate

Inconsistent estimate - awaiting realized solds

Comps look noisy: a lower grade was priced at or above a higher one, so values are clamped to grade order and shown as an approximate range.

  • CGC 8.5 ($9.96) priced above CGC 9 ($5.06) - ladder violation
  • CGC 9 ($5.06) is below the raw NM value ($5.12) - the graded or raw estimate is wrong
  • no CGC population census for this card