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Toxel

#245

Shiny Treasure ex · Shiny Rare · JA

Community Fair Value · Holo, Near Mint
$1.05
Market data only
Community Fair Value · 0 votes
$1.05
Community estimate
needs 5 more voters
Voters · comps
0 · 165
The band · ±15% of marketCFV $1.05
Floor $0.89Market $1.05Ceiling $1.21

The community moves this only within the glowing band - it can never detach from real market data.

Market anchor $1.05165 compsas of 2026-07-03

Est. International

Approx.
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Card details

Card Number245/190 · Shiny Rare
Card TypeLightning · 70 HP · Basic
Weakness / Resistance / RetreatFighting ×2 / - / 1
ArtistLee HyunJung
Attack
LightningSlight Intrusion
30

This Pokémon also does 10 damage to itself.

汚れた 水を 飲んでも 平気。 体内の 器官で 自分には 無害の 毒液に ろ過するぞ。

Graded prices

PSA 10
$34.97
model estimate
PSA 9
$14.40
model estimate

“model estimate” tiles are Scrydex modeled values (as of 2026-06-30). Struck-through tiles failed our graded data-quality checks and should not be treated as market truth.

Population report

No grading census is available for this printing yet. PSA's population data currently covers English printings; census coverage for Japanese and promo printings is on our data roadmap.

Market Price History

Market price
$1.21
+$0.30 (+33.0%)
$1.21$0.91Mar 2026Today
94 data points over 102 days · Source: market data

Near Mint Comparison Prices

CGC_10
$27.49
H-NM
$1.05
TAG_10
$20.00

Price Points

H-NM
Market Price
+33.0%$1.05
VolatilityModerate Volatility
Most Recent SaleComing soon
Listed MedianComing soon
Current QuantityComing soon
Current SellersComing soon

3 Month Snapshot

Low SaleComing soon
High SaleComing soon
Total SoldComing soon
Avg Daily SoldComing soon

Sale-based and live-listing fields arrive once a realized-sales feed is wired up. Market Price and comparisons above are real Scrydex market data - never realized sales.

Graded price history

CGC 10TAG 10
$20$22.50$25$27.50$30CGC 10 peak · $30.00 · Jun 24, 2026CGC 10 low · $24.99 · May 21, 2026CGC 10TAG 10 peak · $20.00 · Mar 26, 2026TAG 10Mar 26Jun 25
5 realized data points · daily eBay sold medians (accruing daily) · grades with fewer than 2 points are hidden until more data lands.
View data table
DateGradeRealized median
Jun 25, 2026CGC 10$27.49
Jun 25, 2026TAG 10$20.00
Jun 24, 2026CGC 10$30.00
May 21, 2026CGC 10$24.99
Mar 26, 2026TAG 10$20.00

Recent sales

Model estimate - no realized sales captured yet for this grade.

Average
$1.11
Median
$1.12
Range
$0.98 - $1.20
Data points
60

Raw NM (Holo, Near Mint) · last 90 days

Daily realized medians

latest 12 of 60
DatePriceSource
Jun 30, 2026$1.20market
Jun 30, 2026$1.20market
Jun 29, 2026$1.20market
Jun 29, 2026$1.20market
Jun 28, 2026$1.20market
Jun 27, 2026$1.20market
Jun 26, 2026$1.14market
Jun 25, 2026$1.14market
Jun 24, 2026$1.13market
Jun 23, 2026$1.11market
Jun 23, 2026$1.13market
Jun 22, 2026$1.11market

Realized rows are daily median snapshots of eBay sold data - not individual auction records.

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Your estimate · Holo, Near Mint

Add your estimate

Think you can read the market? Guess what this Holo, Near Mint actually sells for. It's a free forecasting game - score on accuracy, not on moving the price. The more you call, the more your vote counts.
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Make a call · H-NM

No open calls yet

Call the direction: up or down ≥5% within your horizon. Timestamped, auto-resolved, and permanently on your public track record.

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Community sentiment

50% bullish

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Sentiment is hype only; it is never blended into the dollar value above.

Should I grade this?

Toxel

Raw market value $1.05Modern · 2023
HOLD

Hold for now

Hold, grading isn't worth it: best option (CGC) only nets -$2.32 at -11% ROI (need $15.00 and 25%).

PSA (Professional Sports Authenticator)PSA

Market leader · liquidity premium

EstimatedLow confidence
-71% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$17 to $33
Expected profit-$61.76
Break-even value$87.05
All-in · Regular$86.00
Turnaround~45d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 30, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$52.08

PSA 10

$34.97

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$72.65

PSA 9

$14.40

estimate

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.

TAG (TAG Grading)TAG

Tech / CV grading · digital cert

EstimatedLow confidence
-84% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$14 to $26
Expected profit-$107.05
Break-even value$127.05
All-in · TAG Standard$126.00
Turnaround~15d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 30, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$107.05

TAG 10

$20.00

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$107.05

TAG 10

$20.00

estimate

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.

CGC (Certified Guaranty Company)CGC

Mid-market · solid demand

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
-11% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$13 to $25
Expected profit-$2.32
Break-even value$21.05
All-in · Bulk$20.00
Turnaround~120d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 30, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$7.76

CGC 10 (Pristine)

$28.81

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$15.05

CGC 8.5

$6.00

estimate

Inconsistent estimate - awaiting realized solds

Comps look noisy: a lower grade was priced at or above a higher one, so values are clamped to grade order and shown as an approximate range.

  • CGC 8.5 ($8.00) priced above CGC 9 ($6.00) - ladder violation
  • no CGC population census for this card