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Roaring Moon ex

#251

Paradox Rift · Special Illustration Rare · EN

Community Fair Value · H-NM
$41.83
Market data only
Market anchor (FV_sales)
$41.83
Community estimate
needs 5 more voters
Voters · comps
0 · 7
The band · ±16% of marketCFV $41.83
Floor $35.03Market $41.83Ceiling $48.63

The community moves this only within the glowing band - it can never detach from real market data.

Market anchor $41.837 compsas of 2026-06-29

Est. International

Approx.
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Card details

Card Number251/182 · Special Illustration Rare
Card TypeDarkness · 230 HP · Basic · ex · Ancient
Weakness / Resistance / RetreatGrass ×2 / - / 2
ArtistRyota Murayama
Card Text

Pokémon ex rule: When your Pokémon ex is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.

Attacks
DarknessDarknessColorlessFrenzied Gouging

Knock Out your opponent's Active Pokémon. If your opponent's Active Pokémon is Knocked Out in this way, this Pokémon does 200 damage to itself.

DarknessDarknessColorlessCalamity Storm
100+

You may discard a Stadium in play. If you do, this attack does 120 more damage.

Graded prices

BGS 9.5
$80.36
model estimate
BGS 9
$49.87
model estimate
BGS 8.5
$51.00
inconsistent estimate
BGS 7.5
$48.00
model estimate

“model estimate” tiles are Scrydex modeled values (as of 2026-06-29). Struck-through tiles failed our graded data-quality checks and should not be treated as market truth.

Population report

Total graded
11,599
Gem rate (PSA 10)
33.3%
Grade 10
3,858
Grade 9
6,145
Grade 8.5
21
Grade 8
1,337
Grade 7
148
Grade 6
51
Grade 5
22
Grade 4
11
Grade 3
3
Grade 2
2
9Q
1

PSAcensus for this card's most-graded printing · as of 2026-06-29. Gem rate = grade-10 slabs ÷ total graded.

Market Price History

Market price
$42.86
+$3.27 (+8.3%)
$43.37$39.33$42.86Apr 2026Today
86 data points over 90 days · Source: market data

Near Mint Comparison Prices

H-DMG
Thin data$24.72
H-HP
$21.59
H-LP
$38.82
H-MP
$32.07
H-NM
$41.83

Price Points

H-NM
Market Price
+15.0%Low confidence$28.44 - $55.22

Source prices are inconsistent across grades/conditions - showing a range while we sort it out. Mid estimate $41.83.

VolatilityLow Volatility
Most Recent SaleComing soon
Listed MedianComing soon
Current QuantityComing soon
Current SellersComing soon

3 Month Snapshot

Low SaleComing soon
High SaleComing soon
Total SoldComing soon
Avg Daily SoldComing soon

Sale-based and live-listing fields arrive once a realized-sales feed is wired up. Market Price and comparisons above are real Scrydex market data - never realized sales.

Graded price history

Realized graded history accrues daily from eBay sold data - check back soon.

Recent sales

Model estimate - no realized sales captured yet for this grade.

Average
$41.85
Median
$41.83
Range
$41.27 - $42.94
Data points
10

Raw NM (Holo, Near Mint) · last 90 days

Daily realized medians

latest 12 of 14
DatePriceSource
Jun 29, 2026$41.83market
Jun 29, 2026$41.83market
Jun 28, 2026$41.83market
Jun 28, 2026$41.83market
Jun 22, 2026$41.36market
Jun 22, 2026$41.36market
Jun 15, 2026$42.94market
Jun 15, 2026$42.94market
May 30, 2026$41.27market
May 30, 2026$41.27market
Mar 31, 2026$39.01market
Mar 31, 2026$39.01market

Realized rows are daily median snapshots of eBay sold data - not individual auction records.

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Your estimate · H-NM

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Community sentiment

50% bullish

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Sentiment is hype only; it is never blended into the dollar value above.

Should I grade this?

Roaring Moon ex

Raw market value $41.83Modern · 2023
HOLD

Hold for now

Hold: CGC's ESTIMATED economics look positive (~$26.06 at 42% ROI), but no realized sales or high-confidence census back the top grade - estimates alone don't justify a submission.

PSA (Professional Sports Authenticator)PSA

Market leader · liquidity premium

Real censusLow confidenceEst. quality: low
-21% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$69 to $134
Expected profit-$26.68
Break-even value$127.83
All-in · Regular$86.00
Turnaround~45d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$82.38

PSA 10pop 3,858

$210.21

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$94.80

PSA 8pop 1,337

$33.03

estimate

Inconsistent estimate - awaiting realized solds

Comps look noisy: a lower grade was priced at or above a higher one, so values are clamped to grade order and shown as an approximate range.

  • PSA 8 ($34.09) priced above PSA 8.5 ($33.03) - ladder violation
  • PSA 7 ($43.00) priced above PSA 8.5 ($33.03) - ladder violation
TAG (TAG Grading)TAG

Tech / CV grading · digital cert

EstimatedLow confidence
+16% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$132 to $257
Expected profit$26.84
Break-even value$167.83
All-in · TAG Standard$126.00
Turnaround~15d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$39.52

TAG 10

$207.35

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$125.34

TAG 8.5

$42.49

estimate

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.

CGC (Certified Guaranty Company)CGC

Mid-market · solid demand

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
+42% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$60 to $116
Expected profit$26.06
Break-even value$61.83
All-in · Bulk$20.00
Turnaround~120d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$193.75

CGC 10 (Pristine)

$255.58

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$30.53

CGC 8.5

$31.30

estimate

Inconsistent estimate - awaiting realized solds

Comps look noisy: a lower grade was priced at or above a higher one, so values are clamped to grade order and shown as an approximate range.

  • CGC 9 ($35.57) priced above CGC 9.5 ($31.30) - ladder violation
  • CGC 8.5 ($34.97) priced above CGC 9.5 ($31.30) - ladder violation
  • CGC 9.5 ($31.30) is below the raw NM value ($41.83) - the graded or raw estimate is wrong
  • CGC 9 ($35.57) is below the raw NM value ($41.83) - the graded or raw estimate is wrong
  • no CGC population census for this card
ACE (ACE Grading)ACE

Budget grading · modern slabs

EstimatedLow confidence
+29% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$55 to $107
Expected profit$18.10
Break-even value$62.83
All-in · Basic$21.00
Turnaround~100d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$57.59

ACE 10

$120.42

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$12.62

ACE 9

$50.21

estimate

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.