Radiant
← Back to browse

Chien-Pao ex

#261

Paldea Evolved · Special Illustration Rare · EN

Community Fair Value · H-NM
$30.60
Market data only
Market anchor (FV_sales)
$30.60
Community estimate
needs 5 more voters
Voters · comps
0 · 7
The band · ±16% of marketCFV $30.60
Floor $25.63Market $30.60Ceiling $35.57

The community moves this only within the glowing band - it can never detach from real market data.

Market anchor $30.607 compsas of 2026-06-29

Est. International

Approx.
Pro

EUR / GBP / CAD conversions are a Pro feature.

Upgrade to Pro

Card details

Card Number261/193 · Special Illustration Rare
Card TypeWater · 220 HP · Basic · ex
Weakness / Resistance / RetreatMetal ×2 / - / 2
Artistkodama
Card Text

Pokémon ex rule: When your Pokémon ex is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.

Ability
Ability: Shivery Chill

Once during your turn, if this Pokémon is in the Active Spot, you may search your deck for up to 2 Basic Water Energy cards, reveal them, and put them into your hand. Then, shuffle your deck.

Attack
WaterWaterHail Blade
60×

You may discard any amount of Water Energy from your Pokémon. This attack does 60 damage for each card you discarded in this way.

Graded prices

TAG 10
$100.75
2 sales · 60d
TAG 9
$29.99
3 sales · 30d
TAG 8.5
$20.50
model estimate

Green tiles are anchored to realized eBay sold data (daily medians); “model estimate” tiles are Scrydex modeled values (as of 2026-06-29). Struck-through tiles failed our graded data-quality checks and should not be treated as market truth.

Population report

Total graded
4,724
Gem rate (PSA 10)
52.1%
Grade 10
2,461
Grade 9
1,995
Grade 8.5
2
Grade 8
216
Grade 7
27
Grade 6
14
Grade 5
5
Grade 4
3
9Q
1

PSAcensus for this card's most-graded printing · as of 2026-06-29. Gem rate = grade-10 slabs ÷ total graded.

Market Price History

Market price
$31.80
+$9.25 (+41.0%)
$31.80$21.83Mar 2026Today
98 data points over 102 days · Source: market data

Near Mint Comparison Prices

ACE_10
$73.46
BGS_9.5
$52.50
CGC_10
$38.99
CGC_9
$32.86
CGC_9.5
$19.75
H-DMG
$13.79
H-HP
Thin data$26.49
H-LP
$25.13
H-MP
$19.14
H-NM
$30.60
PSA_10
$117.50
PSA_7
$9.99
PSA_8
$26.00
PSA_9
$33.97
TAG_10
$85.00
TAG_8.5
$20.50
TAG_9
$29.99

Price Points

H-NM
Market Price
+41.0%Low confidence$20.81 - $40.39

Source prices are inconsistent across grades/conditions - showing a range while we sort it out. Mid estimate $30.60.

VolatilityModerate Volatility
Most Recent SaleComing soon
Listed MedianComing soon
Current QuantityComing soon
Current SellersComing soon

3 Month Snapshot

Low SaleComing soon
High SaleComing soon
Total SoldComing soon
Avg Daily SoldComing soon

Sale-based and live-listing fields arrive once a realized-sales feed is wired up. Market Price and comparisons above are real Scrydex market data - never realized sales.

Graded price history

PSA 10PSA 9PSA 8PSA 7CGC 10
$50$100$150PSA 10 peak · $162.40 · Jun 22, 2026PSA 10 low · $63.27 · Jan 22, 2026PSA 10PSA 9 peak · $91.00 · Jan 18, 2026PSA 9 low · $9.27 · Feb 13, 2026PSA 9PSA 8 peak · $30.98 · Apr 4, 2026PSA 8 low · $14.50 · May 1, 2026PSA 8PSA 7 peak · $9.99 · Feb 1, 2026PSA 7CGC 10 peak · $160.00 · Mar 24, 2026CGC 10 low · $21.50 · Mar 21, 2026CGC 10Jan 10Jul 1
118 realized data points · daily eBay sold medians (accruing daily) · grades with fewer than 2 points are hidden until more data lands.
View data table
DateGradeRealized median
Jul 1, 2026CGC 10$38.99
Jul 1, 2026PSA 7$9.99
Jul 1, 2026PSA 8$26.00
Jul 1, 2026PSA 9$26.00
Jul 1, 2026PSA 10$100.00
Jun 30, 2026PSA 10$144.62
Jun 28, 2026PSA 10$127.90
Jun 27, 2026CGC 10$36.00
Jun 22, 2026PSA 10$162.40
Jun 21, 2026PSA 10$151.75
Jun 20, 2026PSA 10$153.75
Jun 19, 2026CGC 10$38.99
Jun 19, 2026PSA 9$39.98
Jun 18, 2026PSA 9$35.00
Jun 17, 2026PSA 10$146.50
Jun 16, 2026CGC 10$39.99
Jun 16, 2026PSA 10$141.63
Jun 15, 2026PSA 10$107.99
Jun 14, 2026CGC 10$40.00
Jun 14, 2026PSA 10$125.50
Jun 13, 2026PSA 10$100.00
Jun 12, 2026PSA 9$35.99
Jun 11, 2026CGC 10$36.80
Jun 9, 2026PSA 10$117.50
Jun 8, 2026PSA 10$146.01

Showing the 25 most recent of 118 data points.

Verified market data - based on 40 realized eBay data points · updated Jul 1, 2026

Average
$112.47
Median
$107.84
Range
$68.00 - $162.40
Data points
40

PSA 10 · last 90 days

Daily realized medians

latest 12 of 60
DatePriceSource
Jul 1, 2026$100.00eBay realized
Jun 30, 2026$144.62eBay realized
Jun 28, 2026$127.90eBay realized
Jun 22, 2026$162.40eBay realized
Jun 21, 2026$151.75eBay realized
Jun 20, 2026$153.75eBay realized
Jun 17, 2026$146.50eBay realized
Jun 16, 2026$141.63eBay realized
Jun 15, 2026$107.99eBay realized
Jun 14, 2026$125.50eBay realized
Jun 13, 2026$100.00eBay realized
Jun 9, 2026$117.50eBay realized

Realized rows are daily median snapshots of eBay sold data - not individual auction records.

Pro

The hold / sell / grade signal is a Pro feature

Participation is always free - Pro unlocks the edge: alerts, portfolio P&L, and the decision tools.

Upgrade to Pro

Your estimate · H-NM

Add your estimate

Think you can read the market? Guess what this H-NM actually sells for. It's a free forecasting game - score on accuracy, not on moving the price. The more you call, the more your vote counts.
Sign in - it's free

Make a call · H-NM

No open calls yet

Call the direction: up or down ≥5% within your horizon. Timestamped, auto-resolved, and permanently on your public track record.

Call this market

Think this H-NM moves ≥5% soon? Put it on the record - free, timestamped, auto-scored. Build a track record nobody can fake.
Sign in to make a call

Community sentiment

50% bullish

Call the trend

Is this card heating up or cooling off? Sign in to mark it bullish or bearish - free, and your read sharpens the community gauge.
Sign in to vote sentiment

Sentiment is hype only; it is never blended into the dollar value above.

Should I grade this?

Chien-Pao ex

Raw market value $30.60Modern · 2023
HOLD

Hold for now

Hold: best trustworthy option (PSA, realized-backed) only nets -$28.25 at -24% ROI (need $15.00 and 25%); ACE's higher ESTIMATED ROI isn't backed by realized sales, so it can't drive a submission.

PSA (Professional Sports Authenticator)PSA

Market leader · liquidity premium

Real censusHigh confidence
-24% ROI
Expected value$88.35
Expected profit-$28.25
Break-even value$116.60
All-in · Regular$86.00
Turnaround~45d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$20.47

PSA 10pop 2,461

$137.07

realized · median of 14 sales

Worst case · low grade

-$90.60

PSA 8pop 216

$26.00

realized · median of 3 sales

TAG (TAG Grading)TAG

Tech / CV grading · digital cert

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
-49% ROI
Expected value (range)$54 to $105
Expected profit-$77.22
Break-even value$156.60
All-in · TAG Standard$126.00
Turnaround~15d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$55.85

TAG 10

$100.75

realized · median of 2 sales

Worst case · low grade

-$136.10

TAG 8.5

$20.50

estimate

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.

  • TAG 9 ($22.05) is below the raw NM value ($30.60) - the graded or raw estimate is wrong
  • no TAG population census for this card
CGC (Certified Guaranty Company)CGC

Mid-market · solid demand

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
-27% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$25 to $49
Expected profit-$13.41
Break-even value$50.60
All-in · Bulk$20.00
Turnaround~120d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$79.40

CGC 10 (Pristine)

$130.00

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$39.60

CGC 8

$11.00

estimate

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.

  • CGC 9.5 ($24.75) is below the raw NM value ($30.60) - the graded or raw estimate is wrong
  • CGC 9 ($23.72) is below the raw NM value ($30.60) - the graded or raw estimate is wrong
  • no CGC population census for this card
ACE (ACE Grading)ACE

Budget grading · modern slabs

EstimatedLow confidence
+42% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$50 to $97
Expected profit$21.86
Break-even value$51.60
All-in · Basic$21.00
Turnaround~100d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$21.86

ACE 10

$73.46

estimate

Worst case · low grade

$21.86

ACE 10

$73.46

estimate

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.

BGS (Beckett Grading Services)BGS

Beckett · sub-grades + Black Label

EstimatedLow confidence
-21% ROI
Expected value (range)$36 to $69
Expected profit-$14.10
Break-even value$66.60
All-in · Standard$36.00
Turnaround~35d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$14.10

BGS 9.5

$52.50

realized · median of 3 sales

Worst case · low grade

-$14.10

BGS 9.5

$52.50

realized · median of 3 sales

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.