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Chien-Pao ex

#236

Paldea Evolved · Ultra Rare · EN

Community Fair Value · H-NM
$3.07
Market data only
Market anchor (FV_sales)
$3.07
Community estimate
needs 5 more voters
Voters · comps
0 · 7
The band · ±16% of marketCFV $3.07
Floor $2.57Market $3.07Ceiling $3.57

The community moves this only within the glowing band - it can never detach from real market data.

Market anchor $3.077 compsas of 2026-06-29

Est. International

Approx.
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Card details

Card Number236/193 · Ultra Rare
Card TypeWater · 220 HP · Basic · ex
Weakness / Resistance / RetreatMetal ×2 / - / 2
Artistaky CG Works
Card Text

Pokémon ex rule: When your Pokémon ex is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.

Ability
Ability: Shivery Chill

Once during your turn, if this Pokémon is in the Active Spot, you may search your deck for up to 2 Basic Water Energy cards, reveal them, and put them into your hand. Then, shuffle your deck.

Attack
WaterWaterHail Blade
60×

You may discard any amount of Water Energy from your Pokémon. This attack does 60 damage for each card you discarded in this way.

Graded prices

PSA 10
$45.55
model estimate
PSA 9
$14.16
model estimate
PSA 8
$10.81
model estimate

“model estimate” tiles are Scrydex modeled values (as of 2026-06-29). Struck-through tiles failed our graded data-quality checks and should not be treated as market truth.

Population report

Total graded
461
Gem rate (PSA 10)
52.9%
Grade 10
244
Grade 9
176
Grade 8
34
Grade 7
5
Grade 6
1
Grade 4
1

PSAcensus for this card's most-graded printing · as of 2026-06-29. Gem rate = grade-10 slabs ÷ total graded.

Market Price History

Market price
$2.80
-$0.05 (-1.8%)
$3.54$2.38$2.80Mar 2026Today
98 data points over 102 days · Source: market data

Near Mint Comparison Prices

CGC_10
$14.99
CGC_9.5
$23.99
H-DMG
$0.75
H-HP
$2.00
H-LP
$2.79
H-MP
$2.77
H-NM
$3.07
PSA_10
$50.00
PSA_8
$11.40
PSA_9
$19.99

Price Points

H-NM
Market Price
-1.8%$3.07
VolatilityModerate Volatility
Most Recent SaleComing soon
Listed MedianComing soon
Current QuantityComing soon
Current SellersComing soon

3 Month Snapshot

Low SaleComing soon
High SaleComing soon
Total SoldComing soon
Avg Daily SoldComing soon

Sale-based and live-listing fields arrive once a realized-sales feed is wired up. Market Price and comparisons above are real Scrydex market data - never realized sales.

Graded price history

Realized graded history accrues daily from eBay sold data - check back soon.

Model estimate - no realized sales captured yet for this grade.

Average
$2.98
Median
$3.04
Range
$2.79 - $3.11
Data points
10

Raw NM (Holo, Near Mint) · last 90 days

Daily realized medians

latest 12 of 14
DatePriceSource
Jun 29, 2026$3.11market
Jun 29, 2026$3.11market
Jun 28, 2026$3.07market
Jun 28, 2026$3.07market
Jun 22, 2026$3.04market
Jun 22, 2026$3.04market
Jun 15, 2026$2.79market
Jun 15, 2026$2.79market
May 30, 2026$2.87market
May 30, 2026$2.87market
Mar 31, 2026$3.26market
Mar 31, 2026$3.26market

Realized rows are daily median snapshots of eBay sold data - not individual auction records.

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Your estimate · H-NM

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Make a call · H-NM

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Community sentiment

50% bullish

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Sentiment is hype only; it is never blended into the dollar value above.

Should I grade this?

Chien-Pao ex

Raw market value $3.07Modern · 2023
HOLD

Hold for now

Hold, grading isn't worth it: best option (PSA) only nets -$58.29 at -65% ROI (need $15.00 and 25%).

PSA (Professional Sports Authenticator)PSA

Market leader · liquidity premium

Real censusHigh confidence
-65% ROI (est.)
Expected value$30.78
Expected profit-$58.29
Break-even value$89.07
All-in · Regular$86.00
Turnaround~45d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$43.52

PSA 10pop 244

$45.55

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$78.26

PSA 8pop 34

$10.81

estimate

CGC (Certified Guaranty Company)CGC

Mid-market · solid demand

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
-29% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$11 to $22
Expected profit-$6.64
Break-even value$23.07
All-in · Bulk$20.00
Turnaround~120d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$4.56

CGC 10

$18.51

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$17.07

CGC 8.5

$6.00

estimate

Comps look noisy: a lower grade was priced at or above a higher one, so values are clamped to grade order and shown as an approximate range.

  • CGC 9.5 ($23.99) priced above CGC 10 ($18.51) - ladder violation
  • no CGC population census for this card