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Arctibax

#209

Paldea Evolved · Illustration Rare · EN

Community Fair Value · H-NM
$19.56
Market data only
Market anchor (FV_sales)
$19.56
Community estimate
needs 5 more voters
Voters · comps
0 · 7
The band · ±16% of marketCFV $19.56
Floor $16.38Market $19.56Ceiling $22.74

The community moves this only within the glowing band - it can never detach from real market data.

Market anchor $19.567 compsas of 2026-06-29

Est. International

Approx.
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Card details

Card Number209/193 · Illustration Rare
Card TypeWater · 90 HP · Stage 1
Weakness / Resistance / RetreatMetal ×2 / - / 2
ArtistTomokazu Komiya
Attacks
WaterColorlessSharp Fin
40
WaterWaterColorlessFrost Smash
80

Arctibax freezes the air around it, protecting its face with an ice mask and turning its dorsal fin into a blade of ice.

Graded prices

PSA 10
$208.81
model estimate
PSA 9
$32.57
model estimate
PSA 8
$18.83
model estimate
PSA 7
$14.88
model estimate

“model estimate” tiles are Scrydex modeled values (as of 2026-06-29). Struck-through tiles failed our graded data-quality checks and should not be treated as market truth.

Population report

Total graded
2,015
Gem rate (PSA 10)
20.3%
Grade 10
409
Grade 9
968
Grade 8.5
5
Grade 8
521
Grade 7.5
2
Grade 7
83
Grade 6
17
Grade 5
4
Grade 4
4
Grade 3
1
9Q
1

PSAcensus for this card's most-graded printing · as of 2026-06-29. Gem rate = grade-10 slabs ÷ total graded.

Market Price History

Market price
$19.84
-$0.67 (-3.3%)
$20.61$19.46$19.84Jun 2026Today
8 data points over 7 days · Source: market data

Near Mint Comparison Prices

CGC_10
$115.00
CGC_8.5
$12.50
CGC_9
$13.00
CGC_9.5
$39.99
H-DMG
$7.86
H-HP
$9.88
H-LP
$15.80
H-MP
$11.45
H-NM
$19.56
PSA_10
$149.99
PSA_7
$18.50
PSA_8
$15.50
PSA_9
$22.25
SGC_8.5
$3.34
TAG_10
$140.50
TAG_8.5
$25.00
TAG_9
$27.99

Price Points

H-NM
Market Price
+56.6%$19.56
VolatilityHigh Volatility
Most Recent SaleComing soon
Listed MedianComing soon
Current QuantityComing soon
Current SellersComing soon

3 Month Snapshot

Low SaleComing soon
High SaleComing soon
Total SoldComing soon
Avg Daily SoldComing soon

Sale-based and live-listing fields arrive once a realized-sales feed is wired up. Market Price and comparisons above are real Scrydex market data - never realized sales.

Graded price history

Realized graded history accrues daily from eBay sold data - check back soon.

Model estimate - no realized sales captured yet for this grade.

Average
$19.66
Median
$19.56
Range
$17.32 - $21.70
Data points
10

Raw NM (Holo, Near Mint) · last 90 days

Daily realized medians

latest 12 of 14
DatePriceSource
Jun 29, 2026$19.56market
Jun 29, 2026$19.56market
Jun 28, 2026$19.46market
Jun 28, 2026$19.46market
Jun 22, 2026$21.70market
Jun 22, 2026$21.70market
Jun 15, 2026$20.27market
Jun 15, 2026$20.27market
May 30, 2026$17.32market
May 30, 2026$17.32market
Mar 31, 2026$13.77market
Mar 31, 2026$13.77market

Realized rows are daily median snapshots of eBay sold data - not individual auction records.

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Your estimate · H-NM

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Community sentiment

50% bullish

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Sentiment is hype only; it is never blended into the dollar value above.

Should I grade this?

Arctibax

Raw market value $19.56Modern · 2023
HOLD

Hold for now

Hold, grading isn't worth it: best option (PSA) only nets -$38.78 at -37% ROI (need $15.00 and 25%).

PSA (Professional Sports Authenticator)PSA

Market leader · liquidity premium

Real censusHigh confidence
-37% ROI (est.)
Expected value$66.78
Expected profit-$38.78
Break-even value$105.56
All-in · Regular$86.00
Turnaround~45d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$103.25

PSA 10pop 409

$208.81

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$86.73

PSA 8pop 521

$18.83

estimate

TAG (TAG Grading)TAG

Tech / CV grading · digital cert

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
-68% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$32 to $62
Expected profit-$98.91
Break-even value$145.56
All-in · TAG Standard$126.00
Turnaround~15d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$84.27

TAG 10

$61.29

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$134.06

TAG 8.5

$11.50

estimate

Inconsistent estimate - awaiting realized solds

Comps look noisy: a lower grade was priced at or above a higher one, so values are clamped to grade order and shown as an approximate range.

  • TAG 8.5 ($25.00) priced above TAG 9 ($11.50) - ladder violation
  • TAG 9 ($11.50) is below the raw NM value ($19.56) - the graded or raw estimate is wrong
  • no TAG population census for this card
CGC (Certified Guaranty Company)CGC

Mid-market · solid demand

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
+25% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$34 to $65
Expected profit$9.93
Break-even value$39.56
All-in · Bulk$20.00
Turnaround~120d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$131.44

CGC 10 (Pristine)

$171.00

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$35.57

CGC 8

$3.99

estimate

Comps look noisy: a lower grade was priced at or above a higher one, so values are clamped to grade order and shown as an approximate range.

  • CGC 9 ($19.59) priced above CGC 9.5 ($12.75) - ladder violation
  • CGC 8.5 ($16.33) priced above CGC 9.5 ($12.75) - ladder violation
  • CGC 7.5 ($14.00) priced above CGC 8 ($3.99) - ladder violation
  • CGC 5.5 ($8.00) priced above CGC 8 ($3.99) - ladder violation
  • CGC 9.5 ($12.75) is below the raw NM value ($19.56) - the graded or raw estimate is wrong
  • no CGC population census for this card
ACE (ACE Grading)ACE

Budget grading · modern slabs

EstimatedLow confidence
-35% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$18 to $35
Expected profit-$14.11
Break-even value$40.56
All-in · Basic$21.00
Turnaround~100d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$14.11

ACE 10

$26.45

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$14.11

ACE 10

$26.45

estimate

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.