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Detective Pikachu

#SM194

SM Black Star Promos · Promo · EN

Community Fair Value · H-NM
$9.79
Market data only
Market anchor (FV_sales)
$9.79
Community estimate
needs 5 more voters
Voters · comps
0 · 7
The band · ±16% of marketCFV $9.79
Floor $8.20Market $9.79Ceiling $11.38

The community moves this only within the glowing band - it can never detach from real market data.

Market anchor $9.797 compsas of 2026-06-29

Est. International

Approx.
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Card details

Card NumberSM194 · Promo
Card TypeLightning · 90 HP · Basic
Weakness / Resistance / RetreatFighting ×2 / Metal -20 / 2
ArtistMPC Film
Attack
LightningBrilliant Deduction

Look at the top 4 cards of your deck and put 1 of them into your hand. Shuffle the other cards back into your deck.

Skilled in deduction, he's a self-proclaimed "great detective." His detective hat is his trademark.

Graded prices

BGS 9
$8.00
inconsistent estimate
BGS 7.5
$10.00
inconsistent estimate

“model estimate” tiles are Scrydex modeled values (as of 2026-06-29). Struck-through tiles failed our graded data-quality checks and should not be treated as market truth.

Population report

Total graded
1,027
Gem rate (PSA 10)
24.1%
Grade 10
247
Grade 9
455
Grade 8.5
2
Grade 8
213
Grade 7
62
Grade 6
38
Grade 5
7
Grade 4
1
Grade 1
2

PSAcensus for this card's most-graded printing · as of 2026-06-29. Gem rate = grade-10 slabs ÷ total graded.

Market Price History

Market price
$10.90
+$1.11 (+11.3%)
$10.90$9.79Jun 2026Today
8 data points over 7 days · Source: market data

Near Mint Comparison Prices

H-DMG
$1.92
H-HP
$2.72
H-LP
$6.07
H-MP
$3.93
H-NM
$9.79

Price Points

H-NM
Market Price
+68.2%$9.79
VolatilityHigh Volatility
Most Recent SaleComing soon
Listed MedianComing soon
Current QuantityComing soon
Current SellersComing soon

3 Month Snapshot

Low SaleComing soon
High SaleComing soon
Total SoldComing soon
Avg Daily SoldComing soon

Sale-based and live-listing fields arrive once a realized-sales feed is wired up. Market Price and comparisons above are real Scrydex market data - never realized sales.

Graded price history

Realized graded history accrues daily from eBay sold data - check back soon.

Recent sales

Model estimate - no realized sales captured yet for this grade.

Average
$9.61
Median
$9.79
Range
$8.62 - $10.07
Data points
5

Raw NM (Holo, Near Mint) · last 90 days

Daily realized medians

latest 7 of 7
DatePriceSource
Jun 29, 2026$9.85market
Jun 28, 2026$9.79market
Jun 22, 2026$9.71market
Jun 15, 2026$10.07market
May 30, 2026$8.62market
Mar 31, 2026$6.64market
Dec 31, 2025$5.35market

Realized rows are daily median snapshots of eBay sold data - not individual auction records.

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Your estimate · H-NM

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Community sentiment

50% bullish

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Sentiment is hype only; it is never blended into the dollar value above.

Should I grade this?

Detective Pikachu

Raw market value $9.79Vintage · 2017
HOLD

Hold for now

Hold: PSA's ESTIMATED economics look positive (~$59.44 at 62% ROI), but no realized sales or high-confidence census back the top grade - estimates alone don't justify a submission.

PSA (Professional Sports Authenticator)PSA

Market leader · liquidity premium

Real censusLow confidenceEst. quality: low
+62% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$106 to $205
Expected profit$59.44
Break-even value$95.79
All-in · Regular$86.00
Turnaround~45d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$378.53

PSA 10pop 247

$474.32

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$77.29

PSA 8pop 213

$18.50

estimate

Thin census on this card, so treat the dollar figures as a range, not a precise number.

  • PSA 6 ($25.99) priced above PSA 7 ($10.00) - ladder violation
  • PSA 5 ($20.00) priced above PSA 7 ($10.00) - ladder violation
  • PSA 1 ($99.38) priced above PSA 7 ($10.00) - ladder violation
TAG (TAG Grading)TAG

Tech / CV grading · digital cert

EstimatedLow confidence
-52% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$44 to $86
Expected profit-$70.79
Break-even value$135.79
All-in · TAG Standard$126.00
Turnaround~15d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$70.79

TAG 9

$65.00

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$70.79

TAG 9

$65.00

estimate

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.

CGC (Certified Guaranty Company)CGC

Mid-market · solid demand

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
-40% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$12 to $24
Expected profit-$11.98
Break-even value$29.79
All-in · Bulk$20.00
Turnaround~120d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$11.79

CGC 10

$18.00

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$19.28

CGC 8.5

$10.51

estimate

Comps look noisy: a lower grade was priced at or above a higher one, so values are clamped to grade order and shown as an approximate range.

  • CGC 9.5 ($25.99) priced above CGC 10 ($18.00) - ladder violation
  • CGC 9 ($24.00) priced above CGC 10 ($18.00) - ladder violation
  • CGC 7.5 ($38.00) priced above CGC 8.5 ($10.51) - ladder violation
  • CGC 7 ($13.00) priced above CGC 8.5 ($10.51) - ladder violation
  • no CGC population census for this card