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Pikachu

#SM04

SM Black Star Promos · Promo · EN

Community Fair Value · H-NM
$12.16
Market data only
Market anchor (FV_sales)
$12.16
Community estimate
needs 5 more voters
Voters · comps
0 · 7
The band · ±16% of marketCFV $12.16
Floor $10.18Market $12.16Ceiling $14.14

The community moves this only within the glowing band - it can never detach from real market data.

Market anchor $12.167 compsas of 2026-06-29

Est. International

Approx.
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Card details

Card NumberSM04 · Promo
Card TypeLightning · 70 HP · Basic
Weakness / Resistance / RetreatFighting ×2 / Metal -20 / 1
ArtistkirisAki
Attacks
LightningThunder Wave

Flip a coin. If heads, your opponent's Active Pokémon is now Paralyzed.

LightningColorlessColorlessElectro Ball
50

A plan was recently announced to gather many Pikachu and make an electric power plant.

Graded prices

PSA 10
$378.97
model estimate
PSA 9
$84.42
model estimate
PSA 8
$20.67
model estimate
PSA 7
$35.14
inconsistent estimate
PSA 6
$9.98
model estimate
PSA 4
$13.00
inconsistent estimate
PSA 3
$30.00
inconsistent estimate

“model estimate” tiles are Scrydex modeled values (as of 2026-06-29). Struck-through tiles failed our graded data-quality checks and should not be treated as market truth.

Population report

No grading census is available for this printing yet. PSA's population data currently covers English printings; census coverage for Japanese and promo printings is on our data roadmap.

Market Price History

Market price
$12.76
+$2.65 (+26.2%)
$12.76$10.11Mar 2026Today
98 data points over 102 days · Source: market data

Near Mint Comparison Prices

H-DMG
Thin data$4.51
H-HP
$3.07
H-LP
$9.57
H-MP
$4.62
H-NM
$12.16
N-DMG
$3.17
N-HP
$4.49
N-LP
$6.33
N-MP
$6.15
N-NM
$9.80
SEQUINHO-DMG
$2.58
SEQUINHO-HP
$4.02
SEQUINHO-LP
$11.51
SEQUINHO-MP
$7.76
SEQUINHO-NM
$23.18

Price Points

H-NM
Market Price
+26.2%Low confidence$8.27 - $16.05

Source prices are inconsistent across grades/conditions - showing a range while we sort it out. Mid estimate $12.16.

VolatilityModerate Volatility
Most Recent SaleComing soon
Listed MedianComing soon
Current QuantityComing soon
Current SellersComing soon

3 Month Snapshot

Low SaleComing soon
High SaleComing soon
Total SoldComing soon
Avg Daily SoldComing soon

Sale-based and live-listing fields arrive once a realized-sales feed is wired up. Market Price and comparisons above are real Scrydex market data - never realized sales.

Graded price history

Realized graded history accrues daily from eBay sold data - check back soon.

Recent sales

Model estimate - no realized sales captured yet for this grade.

Average
$12.05
Median
$12.16
Range
$10.68 - $12.76
Data points
5

Raw NM (Holo, Near Mint) · last 90 days

Daily realized medians

latest 7 of 7
DatePriceSource
Jun 29, 2026$12.76market
Jun 28, 2026$12.76market
Jun 22, 2026$12.16market
Jun 15, 2026$11.90market
May 30, 2026$10.68market
Mar 31, 2026$10.59market
Dec 31, 2025$8.54market

Realized rows are daily median snapshots of eBay sold data - not individual auction records.

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Your estimate · H-NM

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Community sentiment

50% bullish

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Sentiment is hype only; it is never blended into the dollar value above.

Should I grade this?

Pikachu

Raw market value $12.16Vintage · 2017
HOLD

Hold for now

Hold: PSA's ESTIMATED economics look positive (~$115.02 at 117% ROI), but no realized sales or high-confidence census back the top grade - estimates alone don't justify a submission.

PSA (Professional Sports Authenticator)PSA

Market leader · liquidity premium

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
+117% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$145 to $281
Expected profit$115.02
Break-even value$98.16
All-in · Regular$86.00
Turnaround~45d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$280.81

PSA 10

$378.97

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$77.49

PSA 8

$20.67

estimate

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.

  • PSA 7 ($35.14) priced above PSA 8 ($20.67) - ladder violation
  • PSA 4 ($13.00) priced above PSA 6 ($9.98) - ladder violation
  • PSA 3 ($30.00) priced above PSA 6 ($9.98) - ladder violation
  • no PSA population census for this card
CGC (Certified Guaranty Company)CGC

Mid-market · solid demand

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
-33% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$15 to $28
Expected profit-$10.67
Break-even value$32.16
All-in · Bulk$20.00
Turnaround~120d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$6.16

CGC 9

$26.00

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$19.70

CGC 8

$12.46

estimate

Inconsistent estimate - awaiting realized solds

Comps look noisy: a lower grade was priced at or above a higher one, so values are clamped to grade order and shown as an approximate range.

  • CGC 8 ($12.75) priced above CGC 8.5 ($12.46) - ladder violation
  • CGC 7 ($5.50) priced above CGC 7.5 ($4.00) - ladder violation
  • CGC 6.5 ($6.00) priced above CGC 7.5 ($4.00) - ladder violation
  • CGC 6 ($13.44) priced above CGC 7.5 ($4.00) - ladder violation
  • CGC 5.5 ($6.50) priced above CGC 7.5 ($4.00) - ladder violation
  • no CGC population census for this card