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Professor Elm's Lecture

#213

Lost Thunder · Rare Ultra · EN

Community Fair Value · H-NM
$140.30
Market data only
Market anchor (FV_sales)
$140.30
Community estimate
needs 5 more voters
Voters · comps
0 · 186
The band · ±15% of marketCFV $140.30
Floor $119.26Market $140.30Ceiling $161.34

The community moves this only within the glowing band - it can never detach from real market data.

Market anchor $140.30186 compsas of 2026-07-03

Est. International

Approx.
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Card details

Card Number213/214 · Rare Ultra
Card TypeSupporter
ArtistHideki Ishikawa
Card Text

Search your deck for up to 3 Pokémon with 60 HP or less, reveal them, and put them into your hand. Then, shuffle your deck.

You may play only 1 Supporter card during your turn (before your attack).

Graded prices

PSA 10
$803.81
model estimate
PSA 9
$158.94
model estimate
PSA 8
$93.37
model estimate
PSA 7
$75.08
model estimate
PSA 5
$85.00
inconsistent estimate

“model estimate” tiles are Scrydex modeled values (as of 2026-06-29). Struck-through tiles failed our graded data-quality checks and should not be treated as market truth.

Population report

Total graded
1,104
Gem rate (PSA 10)
30.9%
Grade 10
341
Grade 9
398
Grade 8.5
1
Grade 8
193
Grade 7
95
Grade 6
60
Grade 5
14
Grade 4
2

PSAcensus for this card's most-graded printing · as of 2026-06-29. Gem rate = grade-10 slabs ÷ total graded.

Market Price History

Market price
$142.92
+$18.26 (+14.6%)
$144.05$124.66Mar 2026Today
98 data points over 102 days · Source: market data

Near Mint Comparison Prices

BGS_9.5
$400.00
CGC_8
$89.99
CGC_9
$89.00
H-DMG
$49.94
H-HP
$79.33
H-LP
$108.05
H-MP
Thin data$112.65
H-NM
$140.30
PSA_10
$417.50
PSA_6
$66.00
PSA_8
$82.50
PSA_9
$152.50
TAG_10
$167.00

Price Points

H-NM
Market Price
+14.6%Low confidence$95.40 - $185.20

Source prices are inconsistent across grades/conditions - showing a range while we sort it out. Mid estimate $140.30.

VolatilityLow Volatility
Most Recent SaleComing soon
Listed MedianComing soon
Current QuantityComing soon
Current SellersComing soon

3 Month Snapshot

Low SaleComing soon
High SaleComing soon
Total SoldComing soon
Avg Daily SoldComing soon

Sale-based and live-listing fields arrive once a realized-sales feed is wired up. Market Price and comparisons above are real Scrydex market data - never realized sales.

Graded price history

PSA 10PSA 9PSA 6
$200$400$600PSA 10 peak · $575.00 · Feb 25, 2026PSA 10 low · $400.00 · Jan 18, 2026PSA 10PSA 9 peak · $160.00 · Mar 8, 2026PSA 9 low · $120.00 · Jan 11, 2026PSA 9PSA 6 peak · $66.00 · Jan 17, 2026PSA 6Jan 11Jul 2
10 realized data points · daily eBay sold medians (accruing daily) · grades with fewer than 2 points are hidden until more data lands.
View data table
DateGradeRealized median
Jul 2, 2026PSA 6$66.00
Jul 2, 2026PSA 10$417.50
Jul 2, 2026PSA 9$152.50
Mar 8, 2026PSA 9$160.00
Feb 25, 2026PSA 10$575.00
Feb 4, 2026PSA 10$450.00
Jan 20, 2026PSA 10$450.00
Jan 18, 2026PSA 10$400.00
Jan 17, 2026PSA 6$66.00
Jan 11, 2026PSA 9$120.00

Verified market data - based on 1 realized eBay data point · updated Jul 2, 2026

Average
$66.00
Median
$66.00
Range
$66.00 - $66.00
Data points
1

PSA 6 · last 90 days

Daily realized medians

latest 2 of 2
DatePriceSource
Jul 2, 2026$66.00eBay realized
Jan 17, 2026$66.00eBay realized

Realized rows are daily median snapshots of eBay sold data - not individual auction records.

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Your estimate · H-NM

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Community sentiment

50% bullish

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Sentiment is hype only; it is never blended into the dollar value above.

Should I grade this?

Professor Elm's Lecture

Raw market value $140.30Modern · 2018
HOLD

Hold for now

Hold: PSA's ESTIMATED economics look positive (~$155.01 at 68% ROI), but no realized sales or high-confidence census back the top grade - estimates alone don't justify a submission.

PSA (Professional Sports Authenticator)PSA

Market leader · liquidity premium

Real censusLow confidenceEst. quality: low
+68% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$259 to $503
Expected profit$155.01
Break-even value$226.30
All-in · Regular$86.00
Turnaround~45d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$577.51

PSA 10pop 341

$803.81

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$132.93

PSA 8pop 193

$93.37

estimate

Thin census on this card, so treat the dollar figures as a range, not a precise number.

  • PSA 5 ($85.00) priced above PSA 7 ($75.08) - ladder violation
CGC (Certified Guaranty Company)CGC

Mid-market · solid demand

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
-4% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$104 to $203
Expected profit-$6.71
Break-even value$160.30
All-in · Bulk$20.00
Turnaround~120d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$17.61

CGC 10

$177.91

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$125.09

CGC 8

$35.21

estimate

Inconsistent estimate - awaiting realized solds

Comps look noisy: a lower grade was priced at or above a higher one, so values are clamped to grade order and shown as an approximate range.

  • CGC 8 ($89.82) priced above CGC 8.5 ($35.21) - ladder violation
  • CGC 7.5 ($60.00) priced above CGC 8.5 ($35.21) - ladder violation
  • CGC 9 ($123.61) is below the raw NM value ($140.30) - the graded or raw estimate is wrong
  • no CGC population census for this card
ACE (ACE Grading)ACE

Budget grading · modern slabs

EstimatedLow confidence
+1% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$110 to $214
Expected profit$0.98
Break-even value$161.30
All-in · Basic$21.00
Turnaround~100d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$0.98

ACE 9

$162.28

estimate

Worst case · low grade

$0.98

ACE 9

$162.28

estimate

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.