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Professor Elm's Lecture

#213

Lost Thunder · Rare Ultra · EN

Community Fair Value · H-NM
$142.87
Market data only
Market anchor (FV_sales)
$142.87
Community estimate
needs 5 more voters
Voters · comps
0 · 7
The band · ±16% of marketCFV $142.87
Floor $119.65Market $142.87Ceiling $166.09

The community moves this only within the glowing band - it can never detach from real market data.

Market anchor $142.877 compsas of 2026-06-29

Est. International

Approx.
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Card details

Card Number213/214 · Rare Ultra
Card TypeSupporter
ArtistHideki Ishikawa
Card Text

Search your deck for up to 3 Pokémon with 60 HP or less, reveal them, and put them into your hand. Then, shuffle your deck.

You may play only 1 Supporter card during your turn (before your attack).

Graded prices

PSA 10
$803.81
model estimate
PSA 9
$158.94
model estimate
PSA 8
$93.37
model estimate
PSA 7
$75.08
model estimate
PSA 5
$85.00
inconsistent estimate

“model estimate” tiles are Scrydex modeled values (as of 2026-06-29). Struck-through tiles failed our graded data-quality checks and should not be treated as market truth.

Population report

Total graded
1,104
Gem rate (PSA 10)
30.9%
Grade 10
341
Grade 9
398
Grade 8.5
1
Grade 8
193
Grade 7
95
Grade 6
60
Grade 5
14
Grade 4
2

PSAcensus for this card's most-graded printing · as of 2026-06-29. Gem rate = grade-10 slabs ÷ total graded.

Market Price History

Market price
$142.92
+$15.33 (+12.0%)
$144.05$127.45Apr 2026Today
86 data points over 90 days · Source: market data

Near Mint Comparison Prices

BGS_9.5
$400.00
CGC_8
$89.99
CGC_9
$89.00
H-DMG
$49.94
H-HP
$79.33
H-LP
$108.05
H-MP
Thin data$112.65
H-NM
$142.87
PSA_10
$417.50
PSA_6
$66.00
PSA_8
$82.50
PSA_9
$152.50
TAG_10
$167.00

Price Points

H-NM
Market Price
+14.6%Low confidence$97.15 - $188.59

Source prices are inconsistent across grades/conditions - showing a range while we sort it out. Mid estimate $142.87.

VolatilityLow Volatility
Most Recent SaleComing soon
Listed MedianComing soon
Current QuantityComing soon
Current SellersComing soon

3 Month Snapshot

Low SaleComing soon
High SaleComing soon
Total SoldComing soon
Avg Daily SoldComing soon

Sale-based and live-listing fields arrive once a realized-sales feed is wired up. Market Price and comparisons above are real Scrydex market data - never realized sales.

Graded price history

Realized graded history accrues daily from eBay sold data - check back soon.

Verified market data - based on 1 realized eBay data point · updated Jul 2, 2026

Average
$417.50
Median
$417.50
Range
$417.50 - $417.50
Data points
1

PSA 10 · last 90 days

Daily realized medians

latest 1 of 1
DatePriceSource
Jul 2, 2026$417.50eBay realized

Realized rows are daily median snapshots of eBay sold data - not individual auction records.

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Your estimate · H-NM

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Make a call · H-NM

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Community sentiment

50% bullish

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Sentiment is hype only; it is never blended into the dollar value above.

Should I grade this?

Professor Elm's Lecture

Raw market value $142.87Modern · 2018
HOLD

Hold for now

Hold: PSA's ESTIMATED economics look positive (~$152.44 at 67% ROI), but no realized sales or high-confidence census back the top grade - estimates alone don't justify a submission.

PSA (Professional Sports Authenticator)PSA

Market leader · liquidity premium

Real censusLow confidenceEst. quality: low
+67% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$259 to $503
Expected profit$152.44
Break-even value$228.87
All-in · Regular$86.00
Turnaround~45d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$574.94

PSA 10pop 341

$803.81

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$135.50

PSA 8pop 193

$93.37

estimate

Thin census on this card, so treat the dollar figures as a range, not a precise number.

  • PSA 5 ($85.00) priced above PSA 7 ($75.08) - ladder violation
CGC (Certified Guaranty Company)CGC

Mid-market · solid demand

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
-6% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$104 to $203
Expected profit-$9.28
Break-even value$162.87
All-in · Bulk$20.00
Turnaround~120d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$15.04

CGC 10

$177.91

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$127.66

CGC 8

$35.21

estimate

Inconsistent estimate - awaiting realized solds

Comps look noisy: a lower grade was priced at or above a higher one, so values are clamped to grade order and shown as an approximate range.

  • CGC 8 ($89.82) priced above CGC 8.5 ($35.21) - ladder violation
  • CGC 7.5 ($60.00) priced above CGC 8.5 ($35.21) - ladder violation
  • CGC 9 ($123.61) is below the raw NM value ($142.87) - the graded or raw estimate is wrong
  • no CGC population census for this card
ACE (ACE Grading)ACE

Budget grading · modern slabs

EstimatedLow confidence
-1% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$110 to $214
Expected profit-$1.59
Break-even value$163.87
All-in · Basic$21.00
Turnaround~100d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$1.59

ACE 9

$162.28

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$1.59

ACE 9

$162.28

estimate

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.