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Lillipup

#154

White Flare · Illustration Rare · EN

Community Fair Value · H-NM
$23.45
Market data only
Market anchor (FV_sales)
$23.45
Community estimate
needs 5 more voters
Voters · comps
0 · 133
The band · ±15% of marketCFV $23.45
Floor $19.93Market $23.45Ceiling $26.97

The community moves this only within the glowing band - it can never detach from real market data.

Market anchor $23.45133 compsas of 2026-07-03

Est. International

Approx.
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Card details

Card Number154/086 · Illustration Rare
Card TypeColorless · 60 HP · Basic
Weakness / Resistance / RetreatFighting ×2 / - / 1
ArtistNarumi Sato
Attack
ColorlessPlay Rough
10+

Flip a coin. If heads, this attack does 20 more damage.

It faces strong opponents with great courage. But, when at a disadvantage in a fight, this intelligent Pokémon flees.

Graded prices

TAG 10
$219.01
model estimate
TAG 9
$29.96
model estimate

“model estimate” tiles are Scrydex modeled values (as of 2026-06-29). Struck-through tiles failed our graded data-quality checks and should not be treated as market truth.

Population report

Total graded
744
Gem rate (PSA 10)
18.5%
Grade 10
138
Grade 9
474
Grade 8
113
Grade 7
13
Grade 6
5
Grade 4
1

PSAcensus for this card's most-graded printing · as of 2026-06-29. Gem rate = grade-10 slabs ÷ total graded.

Market Price History

Market price
$37.47
+$18.01 (+92.5%)
$38.76$19.30Mar 2026Today
98 data points over 103 days · Source: market data

Near Mint Comparison Prices

ACE_10
$160.12
ACE_9
$29.59
CGC_10
$99.99
CGC_9
$13.01
CGC_9.5
$15.00
H-DMG
Thin data$30.00
H-LP
Thin data$26.45
H-MP
$15.00
H-NM
$23.45
PSA_10
$270.00
PSA_8
$22.03
PSA_9
$36.90
TAG_10
$158.21

Price Points

H-NM
Market Price
+92.5%Low confidence$15.95 - $30.95

Source prices are inconsistent across grades/conditions - showing a range while we sort it out. Mid estimate $23.45.

VolatilityHigh Volatility
Most Recent SaleComing soon
Listed MedianComing soon
Current QuantityComing soon
Current SellersComing soon

3 Month Snapshot

Low SaleComing soon
High SaleComing soon
Total SoldComing soon
Avg Daily SoldComing soon

Sale-based and live-listing fields arrive once a realized-sales feed is wired up. Market Price and comparisons above are real Scrydex market data - never realized sales.

Graded price history

PSA 10PSA 9PSA 8CGC 10CGC 9
$0$100$200$300PSA 10 peak · $299.99 · May 26, 2026PSA 10 low · $114.09 · Jan 11, 2026PSA 10PSA 9 peak · $82.65 · Jun 18, 2026PSA 9 low · $20.69 · Jan 30, 2026PSA 9PSA 8 peak · $25.00 · Apr 23, 2026PSA 8 low · $12.50 · Apr 10, 2026PSA 8CGC 10 peak · $199.99 · Mar 30, 2026CGC 10 low · $39.99 · Mar 24, 2026CGC 10CGC 9 peak · $13.01 · Jan 21, 2026CGC 9Jan 11Jul 2
64 realized data points · daily eBay sold medians (accruing daily) · grades with fewer than 2 points are hidden until more data lands.
View data table
DateGradeRealized median
Jul 2, 2026CGC 9$13.01
Jul 2, 2026CGC 10$99.99
Jul 2, 2026PSA 8$22.03
Jul 2, 2026PSA 9$35.00
Jul 2, 2026PSA 10$194.99
Jun 28, 2026PSA 9$36.90
Jun 18, 2026PSA 9$82.65
Jun 16, 2026PSA 9$60.00
Jun 13, 2026PSA 9$65.00
Jun 7, 2026PSA 10$286.00
Jun 6, 2026PSA 10$274.00
Jun 5, 2026PSA 9$75.00
May 29, 2026PSA 9$40.00
May 27, 2026PSA 9$39.00
May 26, 2026PSA 9$35.00
May 26, 2026PSA 10$299.99
May 22, 2026PSA 9$51.00
May 20, 2026PSA 9$54.00
May 19, 2026PSA 8$22.03
May 16, 2026PSA 10$289.99
May 15, 2026PSA 10$270.00
May 7, 2026PSA 8$24.99
May 3, 2026PSA 9$38.99
May 1, 2026PSA 9$47.39
Apr 27, 2026PSA 9$29.99

Showing the 25 most recent of 64 data points.

Verified market data - based on 24 realized eBay data points · updated Jul 2, 2026

Average
$42.40
Median
$38.99
Range
$22.50 - $82.65
Data points
24

PSA 9 · last 90 days

Daily realized medians

latest 12 of 35
DatePriceSource
Jul 2, 2026$35.00eBay realized
Jun 28, 2026$36.90eBay realized
Jun 18, 2026$82.65eBay realized
Jun 16, 2026$60.00eBay realized
Jun 13, 2026$65.00eBay realized
Jun 5, 2026$75.00eBay realized
May 29, 2026$40.00eBay realized
May 27, 2026$39.00eBay realized
May 26, 2026$35.00eBay realized
May 22, 2026$51.00eBay realized
May 20, 2026$54.00eBay realized
May 3, 2026$38.99eBay realized

Realized rows are daily median snapshots of eBay sold data - not individual auction records.

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Your estimate · H-NM

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Community sentiment

50% bullish

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Sentiment is hype only; it is never blended into the dollar value above.

Should I grade this?

Lillipup

Raw market value $23.45Modern · 2025
HOLD

Hold for now

Hold, grading isn't worth it: best option (PSA) only nets -$13.00 at -12% ROI (need $15.00 and 25%).

PSA (Professional Sports Authenticator)PSA

Market leader · liquidity premium

Real censusLow confidenceEst. quality: low
-12% ROI
Expected value (range)$66 to $127
Expected profit-$13.00
Break-even value$109.45
All-in · Regular$86.00
Turnaround~45d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$164.55

PSA 10pop 138

$274.00

realized · median of 3 sales

Worst case · low grade

-$87.42

PSA 8pop 113

$22.03

realized · median of 3 sales

Comps look noisy: a lower grade was priced at or above a higher one, so values are clamped to grade order and shown as an approximate range.

  • PSA 9 ($72.28) priced above PSA 9.5 ($26.65) - ladder violation
TAG (TAG Grading)TAG

Tech / CV grading · digital cert

EstimatedLow confidence
+15% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$117 to $227
Expected profit$22.30
Break-even value$149.45
All-in · TAG Standard$126.00
Turnaround~15d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$69.56

TAG 10

$219.01

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$119.49

TAG 9

$29.96

estimate

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.

CGC (Certified Guaranty Company)CGC

Mid-market · solid demand

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
-27% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$22 to $42
Expected profit-$11.63
Break-even value$43.45
All-in · Bulk$20.00
Turnaround~120d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$155.78

CGC 10 (Pristine)

$199.23

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$30.44

CGC 9

$13.01

estimate

Inconsistent estimate - awaiting realized solds

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.

  • CGC 9.5 ($15.00) is below the raw NM value ($23.45) - the graded or raw estimate is wrong
  • CGC 9 ($13.01) is below the raw NM value ($23.45) - the graded or raw estimate is wrong
  • no CGC population census for this card
ACE (ACE Grading)ACE

Budget grading · modern slabs

EstimatedLow confidence
-34% ROI
Expected value (range)$20 to $39
Expected profit-$15.06
Break-even value$44.45
All-in · Basic$21.00
Turnaround~100d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$15.06

ACE 9

$29.39

realized · median of 2 sales

Worst case · low grade

-$15.06

ACE 9

$29.39

realized · median of 2 sales

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.