Radiant
← Back to browse

Arceus

#AR3

Arceus · Rare · EN

Community Fair Value · H-NM
$33.19
Market data only
Market anchor (FV_sales)
$33.19
Community estimate
needs 5 more voters
Voters · comps
0 · 7
The band · ±16% of marketCFV $33.19
Floor $27.80Market $33.19Ceiling $38.58

The community moves this only within the glowing band - it can never detach from real market data.

Market anchor $33.197 compsas of 2026-06-29

Est. International

Approx.
Pro

EUR / GBP / CAD conversions are a Pro feature.

Upgrade to Pro

Card details

Card NumberAR3 · Rare
Card TypeFire · 80 HP · Basic
Weakness / Resistance / RetreatWater ×2 / - / 1
ArtistWataru Kawahara
Card Text

You may have as many of this card in your deck as you like.

Attack
FireColorlessColorlessBright Flame
80

Flip a coin. If tails, discard 2 Energy attached to Arceus.

It is described in mythology as the Pokémon that shaped the universe with its 1,000 arms.

Graded prices

PSA 10
$5,121.25
2 sales · 60d
PSA 9
$500.00
4 sales · 30d
PSA 8
$124.00
4 sales · 60d
PSA 7
$60.00
4 sales · 30d
PSA 6
$30.00
3 sales · 30d
PSA 5
$14.16
model estimate
PSA 4
$14.00
model estimate

Green tiles are anchored to realized eBay sold data (daily medians); “model estimate” tiles are Scrydex modeled values (as of 2026-06-29). Struck-through tiles failed our graded data-quality checks and should not be treated as market truth.

Population report

Total graded
609
Gem rate (PSA 10)
6.2%
Grade 10
38
Grade 9
166
Grade 8.5
4
Grade 8
172
Grade 7
104
Grade 6
66
Grade 5
33
Grade 4
18
Grade 3
4
Grade 2
1
Grade 1
3

PSAcensus for this card's most-graded printing · as of 2026-06-29. Gem rate = grade-10 slabs ÷ total graded.

Market Price History

Market price
$33.19
+$6.81 (+25.8%)
$33.26$26.38Mar 2026Today
97 data points over 102 days · Source: market data

Near Mint Comparison Prices

BGS_8.5
$45.04
BGS_9
$103.61
CGC_10
$400.00
CGC_8
$39.99
CGC_8.5
$39.99
CGC_9
$60.00
H-DMG
$5.97
H-HP
$5.99
H-LP
$15.61
H-MP
$11.62
H-NM
$33.19
PSA_10
$2,451.00
PSA_4
$26.25
PSA_5
$15.00
PSA_6
$30.00
PSA_7
$50.00
PSA_8
$50.00
PSA_9
$369.00
SGC_8.5
$39.49

Price Points

H-NM
Market Price
+25.8%$33.19
VolatilityModerate Volatility
Most Recent SaleComing soon
Listed MedianComing soon
Current QuantityComing soon
Current SellersComing soon

3 Month Snapshot

Low SaleComing soon
High SaleComing soon
Total SoldComing soon
Avg Daily SoldComing soon

Sale-based and live-listing fields arrive once a realized-sales feed is wired up. Market Price and comparisons above are real Scrydex market data - never realized sales.

Graded price history

PSA 10PSA 9PSA 8PSA 7PSA 6
$0$2,500$5,000$7,500$10,000PSA 10 peak · $10,000.00 · Jun 24, 2026PSA 10 low · $219.51 · Mar 18, 2026PSA 10PSA 9 peak · $750.00 · Jun 8, 2026PSA 9 low · $94.99 · Jul 2, 2026PSA 9PSA 8 peak · $247.50 · Jun 3, 2026PSA 8 low · $46.00 · Mar 22, 2026PSA 8PSA 7 peak · $75.00 · Jun 15, 2026PSA 7 low · $20.50 · Jan 29, 2026PSA 7PSA 6 peak · $49.98 · Jun 16, 2026PSA 6 low · $12.37 · Feb 15, 2026PSA 6Jan 6Jul 2
40 realized data points · daily eBay sold medians (accruing daily) · grades with fewer than 2 points are hidden until more data lands.
View data table
DateGradeRealized median
Jul 2, 2026PSA 6$30.00
Jul 2, 2026PSA 7$50.00
Jul 2, 2026PSA 8$50.00
Jul 2, 2026PSA 9$94.99
Jul 2, 2026PSA 10$242.50
Jun 24, 2026PSA 10$10,000.00
Jun 16, 2026PSA 6$49.98
Jun 15, 2026PSA 7$75.00
Jun 15, 2026PSA 9$450.00
Jun 14, 2026PSA 6$30.00
Jun 9, 2026PSA 7$70.00
Jun 8, 2026PSA 9$750.00
Jun 5, 2026PSA 9$550.00
Jun 4, 2026PSA 7$50.00
Jun 3, 2026PSA 8$247.50
May 27, 2026PSA 6$49.95
May 22, 2026PSA 8$159.99
May 20, 2026PSA 7$49.99
May 16, 2026PSA 9$369.00
May 8, 2026PSA 6$42.75
May 7, 2026PSA 8$88.00
May 2, 2026PSA 6$24.51
Apr 26, 2026PSA 10$2,451.00
Apr 22, 2026PSA 9$180.00
Apr 12, 2026PSA 8$60.00

Showing the 25 most recent of 40 data points.

Verified market data - based on 3 realized eBay data points · updated Jul 2, 2026

Average
$429.00
Median
$400.00
Range
$400.00 - $487.00
Data points
3

CGC 10 · last 90 days

Daily realized medians

latest 4 of 4
DatePriceSource
Jul 2, 2026$400.00eBay realized
May 18, 2026$487.00eBay realized
Apr 29, 2026$400.00eBay realized
Jan 8, 2026$183.50eBay realized

Realized rows are daily median snapshots of eBay sold data - not individual auction records.

Pro

The hold / sell / grade signal is a Pro feature

Participation is always free - Pro unlocks the edge: alerts, portfolio P&L, and the decision tools.

Upgrade to Pro

Your estimate · H-NM

Add your estimate

Think you can read the market? Guess what this H-NM actually sells for. It's a free forecasting game - score on accuracy, not on moving the price. The more you call, the more your vote counts.
Sign in - it's free

Make a call · H-NM

No open calls yet

Call the direction: up or down ≥5% within your horizon. Timestamped, auto-resolved, and permanently on your public track record.

Call this market

Think this H-NM moves ≥5% soon? Put it on the record - free, timestamped, auto-scored. Build a track record nobody can fake.
Sign in to make a call

Community sentiment

50% bullish

Call the trend

Is this card heating up or cooling off? Sign in to mark it bullish or bearish - free, and your read sharpens the community gauge.
Sign in to vote sentiment

Sentiment is hype only; it is never blended into the dollar value above.

Should I grade this?

Arceus

Raw market value $33.19Vintage · 2009
GRADE

Send it to PSAReal censusHigh confidence

Grade with PSA: ~$795.04 expected value at 567% ROI (best case PSA 10 at $5,121.25, ~45d, all-in $86.00). Vintage card (2009) - PSA carries the resale & liquidity premium. Top grade backed by 2 realized sales.

Expected value

$795.04

Expected ROI

+567%

Turnaround

~45d

All-in · Regular

$86.00

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price. Best case below shows the top grade.

Best case: PSA 10· pop 38· $5,121.25→ profit $5,002.06realized · median of 2 sales

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Recommended
PSA (Professional Sports Authenticator)PSA

Market leader · liquidity premium

Real censusHigh confidence
+567% ROI
Expected value$795.04
Expected profit$675.85
Break-even value$119.19
All-in · Regular$86.00
Turnaround~45d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$5,002.06

PSA 10pop 38

$5,121.25

realized · median of 2 sales

Worst case · low grade

$4.81

PSA 8pop 172

$124.00

realized · median of 4 sales

TAG (TAG Grading)TAG

Tech / CV grading · digital cert

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
-84% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$18 to $34
Expected profit-$133.19
Break-even value$159.19
All-in · TAG Standard$126.00
Turnaround~15d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

-$133.19

TAG 9

$26.00

estimate

Inconsistent estimate - awaiting realized solds

Worst case · low grade

-$133.19

TAG 9

$26.00

estimate

Inconsistent estimate - awaiting realized solds

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.

  • TAG 9 ($26.00) is below the raw NM value ($33.19) - the graded or raw estimate is wrong
  • no TAG population census for this card
CGC (Certified Guaranty Company)CGC

Mid-market · solid demand

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
+327% ROI
Expected value (range)$154 to $300
Expected profit$173.92
Break-even value$53.19
All-in · Bulk$20.00
Turnaround~120d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$390.31

CGC 10

$443.50

realized · median of 2 sales

Worst case · low grade

-$15.70

CGC 8

$37.49

realized · median of 2 sales

Comps look noisy: a lower grade was priced at or above a higher one, so values are clamped to grade order and shown as an approximate range.

  • CGC 10 ($407.24) priced above CGC 10 (Pristine) ($7.09) - ladder violation
  • CGC 9.5 ($24.00) priced above CGC 10 (Pristine) ($7.09) - ladder violation
  • CGC 9 ($63.43) priced above CGC 10 (Pristine) ($7.09) - ladder violation
  • CGC 8.5 ($39.79) priced above CGC 10 (Pristine) ($7.09) - ladder violation
  • CGC 8 ($41.41) priced above CGC 10 (Pristine) ($7.09) - ladder violation
  • CGC 7.5 ($28.79) priced above CGC 10 (Pristine) ($7.09) - ladder violation
  • CGC 7 ($14.00) priced above CGC 10 (Pristine) ($7.09) - ladder violation
  • CGC 10 (Pristine) ($7.09) is below the raw NM value ($33.19) - the graded or raw estimate is wrong
  • CGC 9.5 ($24.00) is below the raw NM value ($33.19) - the graded or raw estimate is wrong
  • no CGC population census for this card
BGS (Beckett Grading Services)BGS

Beckett · sub-grades + Black Label

EstimatedLow confidence
+190% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$137 to $265
Expected profit$131.77
Break-even value$69.19
All-in · Standard$36.00
Turnaround~35d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$228.28

BGS 9.5

$297.47

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$24.15

BGS 8.5

$45.04

realized · median of 2 sales

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.