Ponyta

#46

Arceus · Uncommon · EN

Community Fair Value · RH-NM

$15.51

Market data only

Market anchor (FV_sales)

$15.51

Community estimate

needs 5 more voters

Voters · comps

0 · 186

The band · ±15% of marketCFV $15.51

Floor $13.18Market $15.51Ceiling $17.84

The community moves this only within the glowing band - it can never detach from real market data.

Market anchor $15.51186 compsas of 2026-07-03

Est. International

Approx.

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Card details

Card Number46/99 · Uncommon

Card TypeFire · 40 HP · Basic

Weakness / Resistance / RetreatWater +10 / - / 1

ArtistKanako Eo

Attacks

ColorlessAscension

Search your deck for a card that evolves from Ponyta and put it onto Ponyta. (This counts as evolving Ponyta.) Shuffle your deck afterward.

FireColorlessCombustion

As a newborn, it can barely stand. However, through galloping, its legs are made tougher and faster.

Graded prices

PSA 10

$560.00

model estimate

PSA 9

$512.36

model estimate

PSA 8

$76.31

model estimate

PSA 7

$131.78

inconsistent estimate

PSA 6

$100.73

inconsistent estimate

PSA 5

$60.54

model estimate

PSA 2

$21.00

model estimate

PSA 1

$40.00

inconsistent estimate

“model estimate” tiles are Scrydex modeled values (as of 2026-06-29). Struck-through tiles failed our graded data-quality checks and should not be treated as market truth.

Population report

Total graded

Gem rate (PSA 10)

8.7%

Grade 10

Grade 9

Grade 8

Grade 7

Grade 6

PSAcensus for this card's most-graded printing · as of 2026-06-29. Gem rate = grade-10 slabs ÷ total graded.

Market Price History

Market price

$18.02

+$2.64 (+17.2%)

97 data points over 102 days · Source: market data

Near Mint Comparison Prices

N-DMG

Thin data$0.73

N-HP

$0.52

N-LP

$0.74

N-MP

$0.56

N-NM

$1.15

PSA_10

$999.99

PSA_8

$40.00

RH-DMG

Thin data$1.70

RH-HP

$1.00

RH-LP

$5.80

RH-MP

$2.36

RH-NM

$15.51

Price Points

RH-NM

Market Price

+17.2%Low confidence$10.55 - $20.47

Source prices are inconsistent across grades/conditions - showing a range while we sort it out. Mid estimate $15.51.

VolatilityModerate Volatility

Most Recent SaleComing soon

Listed MedianComing soon

Current QuantityComing soon

Current SellersComing soon

3 Month Snapshot

Low SaleComing soon

High SaleComing soon

Total SoldComing soon

Avg Daily SoldComing soon

Sale-based and live-listing fields arrive once a realized-sales feed is wired up. Market Price and comparisons above are real Scrydex market data - never realized sales.

Graded price history

Realized graded history accrues daily from eBay sold data - check back soon.

Recent sales

Model estimate - no realized sales captured yet for this grade.

Average

n/a

Median

n/a

Range

n/a

Data points

PSA 8 · last 90 days

Daily realized medians

latest 1 of 1

Date	Price	Source
Jul 16, 2025	$40.00	eBay realized

Realized rows are daily median snapshots of eBay sold data - not individual auction records.

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Your estimate · RH-NM

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Community sentiment

50% bullish

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Sentiment is hype only; it is never blended into the dollar value above.

Should I grade this?

Ponyta

Raw market value $15.51Vintage · 2009

HOLD

Hold for now

Hold: PSA's ESTIMATED economics look positive (~$94.56 at 93% ROI), but no realized sales or high-confidence census back the top grade - estimates alone don't justify a submission.

Market leader · liquidity premium

Real censusLow confidenceEst. quality: low

+93% ROI (est.)

Expected value (range)$133 to $259

Expected profit$94.56

Break-even value$101.51

All-in · Regular$86.00

Turnaround~45d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$458.49

PSA 10pop 2

$560.00

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$25.20

PSA 8pop 14

$76.31

estimate

Thin census on this card, so treat the dollar figures as a range, not a precise number.

PSA 7 ($131.78) priced above PSA 8 ($76.31) - ladder violation
PSA 6 ($100.73) priced above PSA 8 ($76.31) - ladder violation
PSA 1 ($40.00) priced above PSA 2 ($21.00) - ladder violation
only 23 graded PSA copies in the census (need 25+)

Mid-market · solid demand

EstimatedLow confidence

+1753% ROI (est.)

Expected value (range)$498 to $966

Expected profit$692.50

Break-even value$39.51

All-in · Economy$24.00

Turnaround~80d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$887.65

CGC 10

$927.16

estimate

Worst case · low grade

$45.46

CGC 8.5

$84.97

estimate

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.