Radiant
← Back to browse

Popplio

#45

Mega Evolution Black Star Promos · Promo · EN

Community Fair Value · H-NM
$6.17
Market data only
Market anchor (FV_sales)
$6.17
Community estimate
needs 5 more voters
Voters · comps
0 · 6
The band · ±18% of marketCFV $6.17
Floor $5.09Market $6.17Ceiling $7.25

The community moves this only within the glowing band - it can never detach from real market data.

Market anchor $6.176 compsas of 2026-06-29

Est. International

Approx.
Pro

EUR / GBP / CAD conversions are a Pro feature.

Upgrade to Pro

Card details

Card Number045 · Promo
Card TypeWater · 70 HP · Basic
Weakness / Resistance / RetreatLightning ×2 / - / 1
ArtistSaboteri
Attack
WaterWaterDisarming Voice
20

Your opponent's Active Pokémon is now Confused.

Graded prices

PSA 10
$152.84
model estimate
PSA 9
$24.93
model estimate

“model estimate” tiles are Scrydex modeled values (as of 2026-06-29). Struck-through tiles failed our graded data-quality checks and should not be treated as market truth.

Population report

Total graded
785
Gem rate (PSA 10)
72.0%
Grade 10
565
Grade 9
204
Grade 8
9
Grade 7
3
Grade 6
2
Grade 5
2

PSAcensus for this card's most-graded printing · as of 2026-06-29. Gem rate = grade-10 slabs ÷ total graded.

Market Price History

Market price
$5.98
+$0.20 (+3.5%)
$6.21$5.78$5.98Jun 2026Today
8 data points over 7 days · Source: market data

Near Mint Comparison Prices

H-DMG
$4.06
H-HP
Thin data$5.43
H-LP
Thin data$6.19
H-MP
$5.00
H-NM
$6.17

Price Points

H-NM
Market Price
-24.7%Low confidence$4.20 - $8.14

Source prices are inconsistent across grades/conditions - showing a range while we sort it out. Mid estimate $6.17.

VolatilityModerate Volatility
Most Recent SaleComing soon
Listed MedianComing soon
Current QuantityComing soon
Current SellersComing soon

3 Month Snapshot

Low SaleComing soon
High SaleComing soon
Total SoldComing soon
Avg Daily SoldComing soon

Sale-based and live-listing fields arrive once a realized-sales feed is wired up. Market Price and comparisons above are real Scrydex market data - never realized sales.

Graded price history

Realized graded history accrues daily from eBay sold data - check back soon.

Recent sales

Model estimate - no realized sales captured yet for this grade.

Average
$6.03
Median
$6.11
Range
$5.70 - $6.24
Data points
5

Raw NM (Holo, Near Mint) · last 90 days

Daily realized medians

latest 6 of 6
DatePriceSource
Jun 29, 2026$6.24market
Jun 28, 2026$6.17market
Jun 22, 2026$6.11market
Jun 15, 2026$5.70market
May 30, 2026$5.93market
Mar 31, 2026$7.83market

Realized rows are daily median snapshots of eBay sold data - not individual auction records.

Pro

The hold / sell / grade signal is a Pro feature

Participation is always free - Pro unlocks the edge: alerts, portfolio P&L, and the decision tools.

Upgrade to Pro

Your estimate · H-NM

Add your estimate

Think you can read the market? Guess what this H-NM actually sells for. It's a free forecasting game - score on accuracy, not on moving the price. The more you call, the more your vote counts.
Sign in - it's free

Make a call · H-NM

No open calls yet

Call the direction: up or down ≥5% within your horizon. Timestamped, auto-resolved, and permanently on your public track record.

Call this market

Think this H-NM moves ≥5% soon? Put it on the record - free, timestamped, auto-scored. Build a track record nobody can fake.
Sign in to make a call

Community sentiment

50% bullish

Call the trend

Is this card heating up or cooling off? Sign in to mark it bullish or bearish - free, and your read sharpens the community gauge.
Sign in to vote sentiment

Sentiment is hype only; it is never blended into the dollar value above.

Should I grade this?

Popplio

Raw market value $6.17Modern · 2025
GRADE

Send it to PSAReal censusHigh confidence

Grade with PSA: ~$118.91 expected value at 29% ROI (best case PSA 10 at $152.84, ~45d, all-in $86.00). Backed by real population data.

Expected value

$118.91

Expected ROI

+29%

Turnaround

~45d

All-in · Regular

$86.00

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price. Best case below shows the top grade.

Best case: PSA 10· pop 565· $152.84→ profit $60.67estimate

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Recommended
PSA (Professional Sports Authenticator)PSA

Market leader · liquidity premium

Real censusHigh confidence
+29% ROI (est.)
Expected value$118.91
Expected profit$26.74
Break-even value$92.17
All-in · Regular$86.00
Turnaround~45d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$60.67

PSA 10pop 565

$152.84

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$67.24

PSA 9pop 204

$24.93

estimate

CGC (Certified Guaranty Company)CGC

Mid-market · solid demand

EstimatedLow confidence
+121% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$39 to $76
Expected profit$31.76
Break-even value$26.17
All-in · Bulk$20.00
Turnaround~120d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$107.81

CGC 10 (Pristine)

$133.98

estimate

Worst case · low grade

$21.39

CGC 10

$47.56

estimate

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.

ACE (ACE Grading)ACE

Budget grading · modern slabs

EstimatedLow confidence
+103% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$37 to $73
Expected profit$27.86
Break-even value$27.17
All-in · Basic$21.00
Turnaround~100d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$27.86

ACE 10

$55.03

estimate

Worst case · low grade

$27.86

ACE 10

$55.03

estimate

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.