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Lillie's Determination
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Lillie's Determination

#184

Mega Evolution · Special Illustration Rare · EN

Community Fair Value · H-NM
$74.83
Market data only
Market anchor (FV_sales)
$74.83
Community estimate
needs 5 more voters
Voters · comps
0 · 7
The band · ±16% of marketCFV $74.83
Floor $62.67Market $74.83Ceiling $86.99

The community moves this only within the glowing band - it can never detach from real market data.

Market anchor $74.837 compsas of 2026-06-29

Est. International

Approx.
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Card details

Card Number184/132 · Special Illustration Rare
Card TypeSupporter
Artistsatoma
Card Text

Shuffle your hand into your deck. Then, draw 6 cards. If you have exactly 6 Prize cards remaining, draw 8 cards instead.

You may play only 1 Supporter card during your turn.

Graded prices

BGS 10 (Pristine)
$440.10
model estimate
BGS 10
$440.00
3 sales · 30d
BGS 9.5
$109.00
2 sales · 60d
BGS 9
$75.17
model estimate
BGS 8.5
$51.00
model estimate

Green tiles are anchored to realized eBay sold data (daily medians); “model estimate” tiles are Scrydex modeled values (as of 2026-06-29). Struck-through tiles failed our graded data-quality checks and should not be treated as market truth.

Population report

Total graded
10,067
Gem rate (PSA 10)
49.2%
Grade 10
4,956
Grade 9
4,076
Grade 8
885
Grade 7
108
Grade 6
24
Grade 5
9
Grade 4
4
Grade 3
2
9Q
3

PSAcensus for this card's most-graded printing · as of 2026-06-29. Gem rate = grade-10 slabs ÷ total graded.

Market Price History

Market price
$74.61
+$3.72 (+5.2%)
$76.61$70.89$74.61Apr 2026Today
85 data points over 90 days · Source: market data

Near Mint Comparison Prices

ACE_10
$100.22
BGS_10
$440.00
BGS_8.5
$51.00
BGS_9
$100.00
BGS_9.5
$165.00
CGC_10
$129.99
CGC_9.5
$69.20
H-DMG
Thin data$64.00
H-HP
$60.00
H-LP
$71.98
H-MP
$65.04
H-NM
$74.83
PSA_10
$199.00
PSA_7
$56.22
PSA_8
$63.00
PSA_9
$69.99
TAG_10
$220.00
TAG_9
$73.00

Price Points

H-NM
Market Price
-1.7%Low confidence$50.88 - $98.78

Source prices are inconsistent across grades/conditions - showing a range while we sort it out. Mid estimate $74.83.

VolatilityLow Volatility
Most Recent SaleComing soon
Listed MedianComing soon
Current QuantityComing soon
Current SellersComing soon

3 Month Snapshot

Low SaleComing soon
High SaleComing soon
Total SoldComing soon
Avg Daily SoldComing soon

Sale-based and live-listing fields arrive once a realized-sales feed is wired up. Market Price and comparisons above are real Scrydex market data - never realized sales.

Graded price history

PSA 10PSA 9PSA 8PSA 7CGC 10
$0$500$1,000$1,500$2,000PSA 10 peak · $2,222.13 · Jan 13, 2026PSA 10 low · $135.00 · Jun 15, 2026PSA 10PSA 9 peak · $102.50 · Feb 26, 2026PSA 9 low · $41.00 · Jun 28, 2026PSA 9PSA 8 peak · $77.77 · Jan 19, 2026PSA 8 low · $45.00 · Apr 26, 2026PSA 8PSA 7 peak · $60.00 · Mar 23, 2026PSA 7 low · $39.99 · May 6, 2026PSA 7CGC 10 peak · $270.00 · Mar 23, 2026CGC 10 low · $74.37 · Mar 30, 2026CGC 10Jan 6Jul 2
233 realized data points · daily eBay sold medians (accruing daily) · grades with fewer than 2 points are hidden until more data lands.
View data table
DateGradeRealized median
Jul 2, 2026CGC 10$143.80
Jul 2, 2026PSA 7$56.22
Jul 2, 2026PSA 8$63.00
Jul 2, 2026PSA 10$200.00
Jul 2, 2026PSA 9$70.00
Jun 30, 2026PSA 9$66.00
Jun 30, 2026PSA 10$188.99
Jun 29, 2026PSA 10$189.99
Jun 28, 2026PSA 9$41.00
Jun 28, 2026PSA 10$190.50
Jun 27, 2026PSA 9$70.00
Jun 27, 2026PSA 10$195.00
Jun 25, 2026PSA 9$62.36
Jun 25, 2026PSA 10$190.00
Jun 23, 2026PSA 8$63.00
Jun 23, 2026PSA 9$69.99
Jun 23, 2026PSA 10$216.02
Jun 22, 2026PSA 10$177.50
Jun 21, 2026PSA 10$198.50
Jun 19, 2026PSA 9$60.00
Jun 19, 2026PSA 10$199.00
Jun 18, 2026PSA 10$196.00
Jun 17, 2026CGC 10$129.99
Jun 17, 2026PSA 10$209.00
Jun 16, 2026CGC 10$109.99

Showing the 25 most recent of 233 data points.

Recent sales

Verified market data - based on 72 realized eBay data points · updated Jul 2, 2026

Average
$200.21
Median
$200.00
Range
$135.00 - $230.00
Data points
72

PSA 10 · last 90 days

Daily realized medians

latest 12 of 110
DatePriceSource
Jul 2, 2026$200.00eBay realized
Jun 30, 2026$188.99eBay realized
Jun 29, 2026$189.99eBay realized
Jun 28, 2026$190.50eBay realized
Jun 27, 2026$195.00eBay realized
Jun 25, 2026$190.00eBay realized
Jun 23, 2026$216.02eBay realized
Jun 22, 2026$177.50eBay realized
Jun 21, 2026$198.50eBay realized
Jun 19, 2026$199.00eBay realized
Jun 18, 2026$196.00eBay realized
Jun 17, 2026$209.00eBay realized

Realized rows are daily median snapshots of eBay sold data - not individual auction records.

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Your estimate · H-NM

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Community sentiment

50% bullish

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Sentiment is hype only; it is never blended into the dollar value above.

Should I grade this?

Lillie's Determination

Raw market value $74.83Modern · 2025
HOLD

Hold for now

Hold, grading isn't worth it: best option (PSA) only nets -$28.74 at -18% ROI (need $15.00 and 25%).

PSA (Professional Sports Authenticator)PSA

Market leader · liquidity premium

Real censusLow confidenceEst. quality: low
-18% ROI
Expected value (range)$90 to $174
Expected profit-$28.74
Break-even value$160.83
All-in · Regular$86.00
Turnaround~45d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$34.67

PSA 10pop 4,956

$195.50

realized · median of 22 sales

Worst case · low grade

-$97.83

PSA 8pop 885

$63.00

realized · median of 3 sales

Thin census on this card, so treat the dollar figures as a range, not a precise number.

  • PSA 9 ($66.34) is below the raw NM value ($74.83) - the graded or raw estimate is wrong
TAG (TAG Grading)TAG

Tech / CV grading · digital cert

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
-10% ROI
Expected value (range)$123 to $239
Expected profit-$19.58
Break-even value$200.83
All-in · TAG Standard$126.00
Turnaround~15d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$19.17

TAG 10

$220.00

realized · median of 8 sales

Worst case · low grade

-$135.83

TAG 9

$65.00

realized · median of 3 sales

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.

  • TAG 9 ($70.82) is below the raw NM value ($74.83) - the graded or raw estimate is wrong
  • no TAG population census for this card
CGC (Certified Guaranty Company)CGC

Mid-market · solid demand

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
-2% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$63 to $123
Expected profit-$1.93
Break-even value$94.83
All-in · Bulk$20.00
Turnaround~120d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$116.02

CGC 10 (Pristine)

$210.85

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$35.73

CGC 8

$59.10

estimate

Inconsistent estimate - awaiting realized solds

Comps look noisy: a lower grade was priced at or above a higher one, so values are clamped to grade order and shown as an approximate range.

  • CGC 9 ($69.55) priced above CGC 9.5 ($54.24) - ladder violation
  • CGC 8.5 ($62.58) priced above CGC 9.5 ($54.24) - ladder violation
  • CGC 8 ($88.03) priced above CGC 9.5 ($54.24) - ladder violation
  • CGC 9.5 ($54.24) is below the raw NM value ($74.83) - the graded or raw estimate is wrong
  • CGC 9 ($69.55) is below the raw NM value ($74.83) - the graded or raw estimate is wrong
  • no CGC population census for this card
ACE (ACE Grading)ACE

Budget grading · modern slabs

EstimatedLow confidence
+4% ROI
Expected value (range)$68 to $132
Expected profit$4.06
Break-even value$95.83
All-in · Basic$21.00
Turnaround~100d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$4.06

ACE 10

$99.89

realized · median of 4 sales

Worst case · low grade

$4.06

ACE 10

$99.89

realized · median of 4 sales

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.

BGS (Beckett Grading Services)BGS

Beckett · sub-grades + Black Label

EstimatedLow confidence
+15% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$87 to $168
Expected profit$16.69
Break-even value$110.83
All-in · Standard$36.00
Turnaround~35d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$329.27

BGS 10 (Pristine)

$440.10

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$59.83

BGS 8.5

$51.00

estimate

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.