Radiant
← Back to browse

Charizard

#4

Celebrations: Classic Collection · Classic Collection · EN

Community Fair Value · H-NM
$196.45
Market data only
Market anchor (FV_sales)
$196.45
Community estimate
needs 5 more voters
Voters · comps
0 · 7
The band · ±16% of marketCFV $196.45
Floor $164.53Market $196.45Ceiling $228.37

The community moves this only within the glowing band - it can never detach from real market data.

Market anchor $196.457 compsas of 2026-06-29

Est. International

Approx.
Pro

EUR / GBP / CAD conversions are a Pro feature.

Upgrade to Pro

Card details

Card Number4 · Classic Collection
Card TypeFire · 120 HP · Stage 2
Weakness / Resistance / RetreatWater ×2 / Fighting -30 / 3
ArtistMitsuhiro Arita
Ability
Pokémon Power: Energy Burn

As often as you like during your turn (before your attack), you may turn all Energy attached to Charizard into Fire Energy for the rest of the turn. This power can't be used if Charizard is Asleep, Confused, or Paralyzed.

Attack
FireFireFireFireFire Spin
100

Discard 2 Energy cards attached to Charizard in order to use this attack.

Spits fire that is hot enough to melt boulders. Known to unintentionally cause forest fires.

Graded prices

PSA 10
$637.50
27 sales · 30d
PSA 9.5
$294.48
model estimate
PSA 9
$216.25
24 sales · 30d
PSA 8.5
$168.24
model estimate
PSA 8
$176.25
4 sales · 30d
PSA 7
$191.32
2 sales · 60d
PSA 6
$31.00
model estimate
PSA 5
$46.00
inconsistent estimate
PSA 4
$85.00
2 sales · 60d
PSA 3
$70.00
inconsistent estimate
PSA 1
$124.99
inconsistent estimate

Green tiles are anchored to realized eBay sold data (daily medians); “model estimate” tiles are Scrydex modeled values (as of 2026-06-29). Struck-through tiles failed our graded data-quality checks and should not be treated as market truth.

Population report

Total graded
58,085
Gem rate (PSA 10)
59.7%
Grade 10
34,669
Grade 9
20,577
Grade 8.5
19
Grade 8
2,087
Grade 7
340
Grade 6
157
Grade 5
108
Grade 4
59
Grade 3
30
Grade 2
11
Grade 1.5
1
Grade 1
19
1Q
1
8Q
1
9Q
2
auth
4

PSAcensus for this card's most-graded printing · as of 2026-06-29. Gem rate = grade-10 slabs ÷ total graded.

Market Price History

Market price
$194.31
-$2.14 (-1.1%)
$196.45$194.31Jun 2026Today
8 data points over 7 days · Source: market data

Near Mint Comparison Prices

ACE_10
$402.17
BGS_10
$1,736.00
BGS_8
$123.50
BGS_9
$202.98
BGS_9.5
$400.00
CGC_1
$185.27
CGC_10
$320.00
CGC_7.5
$189.99
CGC_8
$220.00
CGC_8.5
$145.00
CGC_9
$235.00
CGC_9.5
$210.00
H-DMG
$76.79
H-HP
$96.29
H-LP
$164.80
H-MP
$113.58
H-NM
$196.45
PSA_1
$124.99
PSA_10
$630.00
PSA_2
$169.98
PSA_4
$85.00
PSA_7
$165.13
PSA_8
$177.50
PSA_8.5
$168.50
PSA_9
$209.33
SGC_10
$335.00
SGC_9
$141.75
SGC_9.5
$178.25
TAG_10
$600.00
TAG_7
$170.00
TAG_9
$202.50

Price Points

H-NM
Market Price
+7.9%$196.45
VolatilityLow Volatility
Most Recent SaleComing soon
Listed MedianComing soon
Current QuantityComing soon
Current SellersComing soon

3 Month Snapshot

Low SaleComing soon
High SaleComing soon
Total SoldComing soon
Avg Daily SoldComing soon

Sale-based and live-listing fields arrive once a realized-sales feed is wired up. Market Price and comparisons above are real Scrydex market data - never realized sales.

Graded price history

PSA 10PSA 9PSA 8.5PSA 8PSA 7
$0$500$1,000$1,500$2,000PSA 10 peak · $2,282.66 · Mar 20, 2026PSA 10 low · $317.50 · Feb 8, 2026PSA 10PSA 9 peak · $686.42 · Mar 29, 2026PSA 9 low · $139.50 · Jan 19, 2026PSA 9PSA 8.5 peak · $168.50 · Mar 13, 2026PSA 8.5PSA 8 peak · $332.50 · May 19, 2026PSA 8 low · $96.13 · Apr 22, 2026PSA 8PSA 7 peak · $217.50 · May 8, 2026PSA 7 low · $134.50 · Apr 1, 2026PSA 7Jan 5Jul 1
387 realized data points · daily eBay sold medians (accruing daily) · grades with fewer than 2 points are hidden until more data lands.
View data table
DateGradeRealized median
Jul 1, 2026PSA 7$165.13
Jul 1, 2026PSA 9$192.50
Jul 1, 2026PSA 8$146.73
Jul 1, 2026PSA 8.5$168.50
Jul 1, 2026PSA 10$579.99
Jun 29, 2026PSA 9$225.00
Jun 29, 2026PSA 10$655.00
Jun 28, 2026PSA 9$203.23
Jun 28, 2026PSA 10$683.19
Jun 27, 2026PSA 10$610.00
Jun 26, 2026PSA 9$218.42
Jun 26, 2026PSA 10$609.75
Jun 25, 2026PSA 8$187.50
Jun 25, 2026PSA 9$248.15
Jun 25, 2026PSA 10$629.67
Jun 24, 2026PSA 10$614.67
Jun 23, 2026PSA 9$217.60
Jun 23, 2026PSA 10$666.55
Jun 22, 2026PSA 9$206.66
Jun 22, 2026PSA 10$620.92
Jun 21, 2026PSA 10$622.50
Jun 20, 2026PSA 9$255.00
Jun 20, 2026PSA 10$623.05
Jun 19, 2026PSA 9$226.86
Jun 19, 2026PSA 10$646.85

Showing the 25 most recent of 387 data points.

Verified market data - based on 86 realized eBay data points · updated Jul 1, 2026

Average
$627.95
Median
$629.46
Range
$453.00 - $800.75
Data points
86

PSA 10 · last 90 days

Daily realized medians

latest 12 of 170
DatePriceSource
Jul 1, 2026$579.99eBay realized
Jun 29, 2026$655.00eBay realized
Jun 28, 2026$683.19eBay realized
Jun 27, 2026$610.00eBay realized
Jun 26, 2026$609.75eBay realized
Jun 25, 2026$629.67eBay realized
Jun 24, 2026$614.67eBay realized
Jun 23, 2026$666.55eBay realized
Jun 22, 2026$620.92eBay realized
Jun 21, 2026$622.50eBay realized
Jun 20, 2026$623.05eBay realized
Jun 19, 2026$646.85eBay realized

Realized rows are daily median snapshots of eBay sold data - not individual auction records.

Pro

The hold / sell / grade signal is a Pro feature

Participation is always free - Pro unlocks the edge: alerts, portfolio P&L, and the decision tools.

Upgrade to Pro

Your estimate · H-NM

Add your estimate

Think you can read the market? Guess what this H-NM actually sells for. It's a free forecasting game - score on accuracy, not on moving the price. The more you call, the more your vote counts.
Sign in - it's free

Make a call · H-NM

No open calls yet

Call the direction: up or down ≥5% within your horizon. Timestamped, auto-resolved, and permanently on your public track record.

Call this market

Think this H-NM moves ≥5% soon? Put it on the record - free, timestamped, auto-scored. Build a track record nobody can fake.
Sign in to make a call

Community sentiment

50% bullish

Call the trend

Is this card heating up or cooling off? Sign in to mark it bullish or bearish - free, and your read sharpens the community gauge.
Sign in to vote sentiment

Sentiment is hype only; it is never blended into the dollar value above.

Should I grade this?

Charizard

Raw market value $196.45Modern · 2021
GRADE

Send it to PSAReal censusLow confidenceEst. quality: low

Grade with PSA: ~$319.21–$619.63 expected value at 66% ROI (best case PSA 10 at $637.50, ~45d, all-in $86.00). Top grade backed by 27 realized sales.

Expected value (range)

$319 to $620

Expected ROI

+66%

Turnaround

~45d

All-in · Regular

$86.00

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price. Best case below shows the top grade.

Best case: PSA 10· pop 34,669· $637.50→ profit $355.05realized · median of 27 sales

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Recommended
PSA (Professional Sports Authenticator)PSA

Market leader · liquidity premium

Real censusLow confidenceEst. quality: low
+66% ROI
Expected value (range)$319 to $620
Expected profit$186.97
Break-even value$282.45
All-in · Regular$86.00
Turnaround~45d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$355.05

PSA 10pop 34,669

$637.50

realized · median of 27 sales

Worst case · low grade

-$106.20

PSA 8pop 2,087

$176.25

realized · median of 4 sales

Comps look noisy: a lower grade was priced at or above a higher one, so values are clamped to grade order and shown as an approximate range.

  • PSA 8 ($180.15) priced above PSA 8.5 ($168.24) - ladder violation
  • PSA 5 ($46.00) priced above PSA 6 ($31.00) - ladder violation
  • PSA 4 ($300.00) priced above PSA 6 ($31.00) - ladder violation
  • PSA 3 ($70.00) priced above PSA 6 ($31.00) - ladder violation
  • PSA 1 ($124.99) priced above PSA 6 ($31.00) - ladder violation
TAG (TAG Grading)TAG

Tech / CV grading · digital cert

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
+43% ROI
Expected value (range)$313 to $607
Expected profit$137.44
Break-even value$322.45
All-in · TAG Standard$126.00
Turnaround~15d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$277.55

TAG 10

$600.00

realized · median of 4 sales

Worst case · low grade

-$126.95

TAG 9

$195.50

realized · median of 3 sales

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.

  • TAG 9 ($207.46) priced above TAG 9.5 ($200.00) - ladder violation
  • no TAG population census for this card
CGC (Certified Guaranty Company)CGC

Mid-market · solid demand

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
+45% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$214 to $415
Expected profit$98.02
Break-even value$216.45
All-in · Bulk$20.00
Turnaround~120d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$366.64

CGC 10 (Pristine)

$583.09

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$71.45

CGC 8

$145.00

estimate

Inconsistent estimate - awaiting realized solds

Comps look noisy: a lower grade was priced at or above a higher one, so values are clamped to grade order and shown as an approximate range.

  • CGC 8 ($146.36) priced above CGC 8.5 ($141.07) - ladder violation
  • CGC 6 ($73.00) priced above CGC 7 ($60.00) - ladder violation
  • CGC 1 ($185.27) priced above CGC 7 ($60.00) - ladder violation
  • CGC 9 ($186.66) is below the raw NM value ($196.45) - the graded or raw estimate is wrong
  • no CGC population census for this card
ACE (ACE Grading)ACE

Budget grading · modern slabs

EstimatedLow confidence
+44% ROI
Expected value (range)$213 to $413
Expected profit$95.16
Break-even value$217.45
All-in · Basic$21.00
Turnaround~100d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$185.40

ACE 10

$402.85

realized · median of 8 sales

Worst case · low grade

$24.97

ACE 9

$242.42

estimate

No live census for this grader, so values are estimated grade odds, shown as a range.

BGS (Beckett Grading Services)BGS

Beckett · sub-grades + Black Label

EstimatedLow confidenceEst. quality: low
+67% ROI (est.)
Expected value (range)$264 to $512
Expected profit$155.23
Break-even value$232.45
All-in · Standard$36.00
Turnaround~35d (est.)

Expected value is pop-weighted across possible grades - not the top-grade price.

Graded values as of Jun 29, 2026

Outcome range

Best case · top grade

$6,703.85

BGS 10 (Pristine)

$6,936.30

estimate

Worst case · low grade

-$139.02

BGS 8

$93.43

estimate

Inconsistent estimate - awaiting realized solds

Comps look noisy: a lower grade was priced at or above a higher one, so values are clamped to grade order and shown as an approximate range.

  • BGS 8 ($195.00) priced above BGS 8.5 ($93.43) - ladder violation
  • BGS 9 ($164.09) is below the raw NM value ($196.45) - the graded or raw estimate is wrong
  • no BGS population census for this card